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Headline Economic Results

Headline Economic Results

Increase of 10.2% in GDP but Modified Domestic Demand down 0.8% in Quarter 2

Online ISSN: 2009-5775
CSO statistical release, , 11am
Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2024 prices, Q2 20261
 Amount €mQuarterly % change
Gross Domestic Product149,71410.2
Gross National Product111,318-5.0
Modified Final Domestic Demand74,844-0.8
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2024, seasonally adjusted

Estimates for the second quarter of 2026 indicate that GDP rose by 10.2% in real terms compared to the previous quarter while GNP decreased by 5.0%. Modified Domestic Demand, a broad measure of underlying domestic activity that covers personal, government and investment spending fell by 0.8% in Q2. 

GDPGNPMDD
Q1 20242.29804582823843-2.818332141154980.271739546211647
Q2 20240.1013475304037396.68991147357725-0.0565736184417576
Q3 20247.704801463502480.08763069891097871.03878130765314
Q4 20241.76502489079542-5.13729304283453-0.461628014031068
Q1 20256.31507571929599-3.23414446795742.65508782866684
Q2 2025-4.148381287222294.791256534873782.21661930557877
Q3 20251.389365515939478.266829189043730.132310180446549
Q4 2025-3.31220093830129-3.529596367151730.617564743553123
Q1 2026-7.805542119989965.932616021986471.37447271644824
Q2 202610.1834368671577-4.95336059572312-0.754433051170034

Get the data: NAQ03

Industry (excl. Construction)Information & CommunicationProfessional, Admin & Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels & RestaurantsPublic Admin, Education & HealthReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesConstructionArts, Entertainment & Other ServicesAgriculture, Forestry & Fishing
Q1 202636.60093662932.566609968516.479959313613.473494650513.30725108148.19611753285.96107708433.80820176091.45325633191.5270525705
Q2 202644.69285060633.311372129516.854175797213.440056958913.52806719228.14536231696.0710920563.87654287841.48373745181.6476163253
Industry (excl. Construction)Information & Communication Professional, Admin & Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants Public Admin, Education & HealthReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance Activities ConstructionArts, Entertainment & Other ServicesAgriculture, Forestry & Fishing
Q4 202551.56349665931.010485396314.433315130713.624168044312.16293971477.77454333197.29667351263.6121621011.39514268081.1963374083
Q1 202633.531681807530.395145853414.646199164613.647621726812.15350010567.74784259326.88785789293.65380382421.33374184921.1332893271

Get the data: NAQ02

The MNE dominated sectors of the economy expanded by 11.2% in the second quarter of 2026. The Industry (excluding Construction) sector rose by 22.1%, while the Information & Communication sector grew by 2.3% in the quarter. Overall, the non-MNE sectors expanded by 0.7%. The largest contributions to growth were recorded in the Professional, Administrative & Support and Public Administration, Education & Health sectors which rose by 2.3% and 1.7% respectively. However, there were contractions in Real Estate Activities and the Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants sector which fell by 0.6% and 0.2% respectively. (See Tables 2.5 and 6.3).

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
Q1 202439.568821185314.208212942229.22169459341.385566265750.157398671970.0056598656134.4649029504
Q2 202439.699112432914.326340081113.20209107151.903828634964.51582203769.9660551307134.6011798088
Q3 202439.707251296514.319222539531.81013363052.09414101654.075579823570.6928494331144.9719334806
Q4 202440.23013285514.624912752527.97214420321.069752167465.257535659970.3665114362147.5307241912
Q1 202540.400178602314.744221401245.5849408096-3.916416162956.913755756272.2348041168156.8474011331
Q2 202540.814056678614.899553328831.32086948872.852873912164.689577911573.8359747302150.340772895
Q3 202540.90674054914.877467285833.05518544394.773418933155.970899589973.9336672416152.42955575
Q4 202541.190919199914.814014116831.6225347217-2.334798490962.141933065674.3902555041147.3807825742
Q1 202641.515148566614.706349216532.39714136245.027404373136.79682528675.4127292697135.8769135136
Q2 202641.919369806114.724157557931.8781862475-5.045057577965.156802637174.8437907153149.7138532183

Get the data: NAQ03NAQ04NAQ05

On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.5), Exports increased by 17.1% in Q2 2026 compared with Q1 2026 while Imports increased by 4.0% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter expanded by 77.1%. Capital Investment decreased by €10.6 billion during the quarter (a 28.3% decrease quarter-on-quarter) with the Capital Formation element decreasing by €0.5 billion (a 1.6% decrease quarter-on-quarter). Personal Consumption Expenditure grew by 1.0% in Q2 2026 compared with the previous quarter, while Government Expenditure on Current Goods and Services rose by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter. These impacts when combined resulted in an overall increase in Real GDP in Q2 2026 of 10.2%. Final Domestic Demand fell by 0.1% in Q2 compared with the previous quarter, while Modified Domestic Demand fell by 0.8% over the same period.

GDPNet Factor Income from Rest of WorldGNP
Q1 2024134.4649029504-31.4055572131103.0537861589
Q2 2024134.6011798088-24.5941564399109.9479932231
Q3 2024144.9719334806-34.9299608012110.044341418
Q4 2024147.5307241912-43.2019040544104.3910411223
Q1 2025156.8474011331-55.8325170922101.0148840408
Q2 2025150.340772895-44.4860066213105.8547662736
Q3 2025152.42955575-37.82395676114.6055989899
Q4 2025147.3807825742-36.8202986427110.5604839314
Q1 2026135.8769135136-18.7573005984117.1196129151
Q2 2026149.7138532183-38.3955970592111.3182561591

Get the data: NAQ03

Factor income outflows increased by 104.7% in the quarter, an increase of €19.6 billion in money terms compared with the previous quarter, leading to a decrease in GNP of 5.0%.

The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the Annual National Accounts. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published.