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Headline Economic Results

Headline Economic Results

Decrease of 7.0% in GDP but Modified Domestic Demand up 0.3% in Quarter 1

Online ISSN: 2009-5775
CSO statistical release, , 11am
Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2024 prices, Q1 20261
 Amount €mQuarterly % change
Gross Domestic Product136,592-7.0
Gross National Product117,7366.8
Modified Final Domestic Demand74,6160.3
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2024, seasonally adjusted

Updated estimates for the first quarter of 2026 indicate that GDP fell by 7.0% in real terms in Q1 2026 compared to the previous quarter while GNP increased by 6.8%. Modified Domestic Demand, a broad measure of underlying domestic activity that covers personal, government and investment spending grew by 0.3% in Q1. 

GDPGNPMDD
Q1 20242.63550355549058-2.573709146844220.240856313036986
Q2 2024-0.0477313106662886.22621228579636-0.065703798984329
Q3 20247.595776902204390.2526910189203811.12770719705035
Q4 20241.55178254104376-5.29381983590733-0.506972688305563
Q1 20256.92080601896132-2.575642176287242.60924126687836
Q2 2025-4.353375830051184.07426004421622.24103815893508
Q3 20251.255317762866748.546141432073970.182575447034727
Q4 2025-3.5912800967098-3.773812181200540.592748528023246
Q1 2026-6.987304700402136.75058760305340.295706052273403

Get the data: NAQ03

Industry (excl. Construction)Information & CommunicationProfessional, Admin & Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels & RestaurantsPublic Admin, Education & HealthReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesConstructionArts, Entertainment & Other ServicesAgriculture, Forestry & Fishing
Q4 202541.54062761733.390037793916.300838542613.576725987813.41400387368.22205062056.15200308333.95781161441.54745549521.5449329072
Q1 202636.53918362332.735698505916.457412142413.499453590213.23702867048.22396170165.97800153213.78641947241.45195857381.4857258465
Industry (excl. Construction)Information & Communication Professional, Admin & Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants Public Admin, Education & HealthReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance Activities ConstructionArts, Entertainment & Other ServicesAgriculture, Forestry & Fishing
Q4 202551.56349665931.010485396314.433315130713.624168044312.16293971477.77454333197.29667351263.6121621011.39514268081.1963374083
Q1 202633.531681807530.395145853414.646199164613.647621726812.15350010567.74784259326.88785789293.65380382421.33374184921.1332893271

Get the data: NAQ02

The MNE dominated sectors of the economy contracted by 7.5% in the first quarter of 2026. The Industry (excluding Construction) sector fell by 12.0%, while the Information & Communication sector fell by 2.0% in the quarter. Overall, the non-MNE sectors expanded by 0.1%. The Professional, Administrative & Support sector grew by 1.0% while the Real Estate Activities sector was largely flat. All other sectors posted contractions including Arts & Entertainment (-6.2%) and Construction (-4.3%). (See Tables 2.5 and 6.3).

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
Q1 202439.528904441814.198425284329.33574327871.385566265750.489217866269.9845176547134.6915902844
Q2 202439.755503525214.315748798513.05310591861.903828634964.872716023369.9385351679134.627300223
Q3 202439.719484396214.321924886931.80833782522.09414101653.827096519170.7272370625144.8532895974
Q4 202440.198324263314.647831498928.00090047811.069752167464.367133713770.3686692874147.1010976555
Q1 202540.327181708514.729529133545.7667406737-3.916416162957.523177732672.2047576454157.281679276
Q2 202540.931952013914.879160336131.07619419972.852873912165.356947063973.8228938168150.4346166653
Q3 202540.891481065114.884055188533.06807136194.773418933155.64371554173.9576762952152.3230491298
Q4 202541.16238048814.848641736331.6528048608-2.334798490961.00530028774.3960593328146.8527017837
Q1 202641.499930039414.889641434531.47570152125.765114437138.209527791474.6160529829136.5916560493

Get the data: NAQ03NAQ04NAQ05

On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.5), Exports decreased by 8.4% in Q1 2026 compared with Q4 2025 while Imports increased by 2.4% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter contracted by 37.4%. Capital Investment increased by €7.9 billion during the quarter (a 27.0% increase quarter-on-quarter) with the Capital Formation element decreasing by €0.2 billion (a 0.6% decrease quarter-on-quarter) driven by lower levels of investment in Machinery & Equipment compared with the previous quarter. Personal Consumption Expenditure grew by 0.8% in Q1 2026 compared with the previous quarter, while Government Expenditure on Current Goods and Services rose by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter. These impacts when combined resulted in an overall decrease in Real GDP in Q1 2026 of 7.0%. Final Domestic Demand grew by 0.2% in Q1 compared with the previous quarter, while Modified Domestic Demand grew by 0.3% over the same period.

GDPNet Factor Income from Rest of WorldGNP
Q1 2024134.6915902844-31.4293260085103.2562104422
Q2 2024134.627300223-24.885555859109.6851613026
Q3 2024144.8532895974-34.8929084374109.9623258543
Q4 2024147.1010976555-43.0206714199104.1411184362
Q1 2025157.281679276-55.8228634091101.4588158669
Q2 2025150.4346166653-44.8421048022105.5925118631
Q3 2025152.3230491298-37.7064518611114.6165972686
Q4 2025146.8527017837-36.5615196244110.2911821592
Q1 2026136.5916560493-18.85517102117.7364850293

Get the data: NAQ03

Factor income outflows fell by 48.4% in the quarter, a fall of €17.7 billion in money terms compared with the previous quarter, leading to an increase in GNP of 6.8%.

The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the Annual National Accounts. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published.