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GNI* and De-Globalised Results

GNI* and De-Globalised Results

GNI* increased by over 15% in 2021

Online ISSN: 2811-5724
CSO statistical publication, , 11am
Table 2.1 GNI and Modified GNI (GNI*)
 20202021% change
GNI at current prices€280,670m€323,481m15.3%
Modified GNI (GNI*) at current prices€199,996m€233,879m16.9%
    
Chain linked volume measures referenced to year 2020
GNI at constant prices€280,670m€321,523m14.6%
Modified GNI (GNI*) at constant prices€199,996m€230,713m15.4%

Modified Gross National Income (GNI*) at current market prices increased from €200bn in 2020, to €234bn in 2021, or expressed as a share of GDP, from 53.6% to 54.9%. In constant prices, real GNI* has increased by 15.4% in the year 2021.

Modified GNI (GNI*) is an indicator that was recommended by the Economic Statistics Review Group and is designed to exclude globalisation effects that are disproportionally impacting the measurement of the size of the Irish economy.

GDPGNI*
2013179.4575883354136.794309329538
2014195.0852465782148.847642307301
2015262.9759135783161.898291417586
2016270.2053362432172.235141520833
2017297.7632158117182.959007510598
2018326.6312777648193.975139398266
2019356.7045954962210.735930156762
2020372.8363973561199.995643991946
2021426.2834356798233.878701315153

Get the data: PxStat NA001

Figure 2.1 above shows a comparison of Gross Domestic Product, Modified GNI from 2013 to 2021.

To produce Modified GNI (GNI*) we take GNI and adjust for:

  • factor income of Redomiciled Companies
  • depreciation on R&D Service Imports and Trade in Intellectual Property (IP)
  • depreciation on Aircraft Leasing
Depreciation on R&D Service Imports and Trade in IPFactor Income of Redomiciled CompaniesDepreciation on Aircraft LeasingGNIGNI*
2013-5.3743546825085-6.47375948-3.0596956549538151.702119147136.794309329538
2014-5.5346421403285-6.851084976-3.78271035417165.0160797778148.847642307301
2015-31.272266423186-4.662566246-4.6068895861284202.4400136729161.898291417586
2016-37.476650033085-5.78006588-4.864608742882220.3564661768172.235141520833
2017-44.152929440305-4.456802568-5.2271081931974236.7958477121182.959007510598
2018-47.88458012815-4.912479245-6.5288127560843253.3010115275193.975139398266
2019-52.832507982234-4.861797101-8.633583909004277.063819149210.735930156762
2020-66.710067652455-4.255637464-9.708963143099280.6703122515199.995643991946
2021-69.827626060771-9.97892422-9.7957821671762323.4810337631233.878701315153

Get the data: PxStat NA001

Figure 2.2 shows the difference between GNI at current prices and Modified GNI at current prices as well as the adjustments. We can see that the series start to diverge in recent years, particularly from 2015, with most of the difference explained by the depreciation on R&D service imports and trade in IP.

Table 2.2 Modified Gross National Income at Current Market Prices

Table 2.3 Annual Percentage Changes in the Main Constituents of Table 2.2

GDPGNIGNI*NNIMDD
2013204.2147880135175.6582689984166.971004313151.580025170809149.897254947
2014221.8780404666191.0818352205181.5190088592165.641927878283156.057641671
2015275.9507069358215.4108566879178.1675655476158.213264833655163.307391423
2016281.4880840138231.2228596719186.6490537679166.446148543106172.109731937
2017306.837049712245.1017723804195.3295490345172.673585886569177.814691686
2018333.0027056319259.8263501232204.0158448467180.50174081226186.742840982
2019351.1211743156273.404063915209.6987304108184.945155779688191.169670163
2020372.8363973561280.6703122515199.9956439919174.561272631306179.523363575
2021423.4983278944321.5225318181230.7127353559210.088921466629189.948860508

Get the data: PxStat NA002

Figure 2.3 above shows a comparison of GDP, GNI, NNI, Modified GNI (GNI*) and Modified Domestic Demand (MDD) at constant prices from 2013 to 2021.

Within the National Accounts framework, net national income (NNI) is an important internationally comparable measure of de-globalised economic activity. When we remove depreciation (the cost of using up capital assets) from GNI we get to NNI.

Modified Domestic Demand (MDD), is a de-globalised measure developed in our quarterly accounts and is presented here on an annual basis for comparison.
We can see that the series start to diverge in recent years, particularly from 2015, due to large globalisation events in the Irish economy.

In 2021 both GNI* and NNI show strong growth rates, while the new levels are broadly consistent with the pre-pandemic output path. Further analysis is needed to understand the change from 2020 to 2021, CSO’s initial findings suggest that MNE’s are having strong domestic effects on these de-globalised indicators through several factors. We are examining timing issues with profits, the build up of stocks after the pandemic, tax payments and in the case of NNI this indicator had been effected by substantially larger inflows of payments to redomiciled PLC’s in 2021.

More information on Modified Domestic Demand can be found in our Quarterly National Accounts publication.

Table 2.4 Modified Gross National Income at Constant Market Prices (chain linked annually and referenced to year 2020)

Table 2.5 Annual Percentage Changes in the Main Constituents of Table 2.4