CSO Frontier Series outputs may use new methods which are under development and/or data sources which may be incomplete, for example new administrative data sources. Particular care must be taken when interpreting the statistics in this release.
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) subindices were combined with detailed expenditure data from the 2015/16 Household Budget Survey (HBS) to calculate an estimated inflation rate in the five years from September 2017 to September 2022, for the following groups:
The method used is described in the Appendix.
The following household groups were estimated to have experienced higher inflation than the overall CPI increase of 12.9% from September 2017 to September 2022 (five years):
In the past year, from September 2021 to September 2022, the following categories of household were estimated to have experienced higher inflation than the overall CPI increase of 8.2%:
Figure 2.1 shows the difference from the overall CPI increase of 12.9% for different household groups for the five years from September 2017 to September 2022. All of the household categories in the analysis had estimated inflation of 11.5% or more in the five years from September 2017 to September 2022. This ranged from 11.5% for Other households with children (households containing two adults with more than three children, or households containing three or more adults with children) to 15.6% for households containing one adult with children.
Five-year inflation estimated for households in the lowest income decile was 2.1 percentage points higher than the CPI average, at 15.0%. The estimated inflation for households in the highest income decile over the same five years was 11.6%.
Indices | Estimated difference |
---|---|
1st (Lowest) Income Decile | 2.1 |
2nd Income Decile | 2.4 |
3rd Income Decile | 1.4 |
4th Income Decile | 0.9 |
5th Income Decile | 0.3 |
6th Income Decile | 0 |
7th Income Decile | -0.2 |
8th Income Decile | -1 |
9th Income Decile | -0.7 |
10th (Highest) Income Decile | -1.3 |
Owned Outright | -0.4 |
Owned with Mortgage | -1.2 |
Rented from Local Authority | 2.4 |
Rented from Private Owner | 2.2 |
Urban | 0 |
Rural | 0 |
Reference Person aged under 35 | 1.1 |
Reference Person aged 35 to 64 | -0.4 |
Reference Person aged 65 and over | 0.5 |
1 adult | 2 |
1 adult with children | 2.7 |
2 adults | 0.6 |
2 adults with 1 to 3 children | -0.3 |
3 plus adults | -0.7 |
Other households with children | -1.4 |
Figure 2.2 shows the difference from the overall CPI increase of 8.2% for different household groups in the twelve months from September 2021 to September 2022. All categories of household in the analysis had estimated annual inflation of 7.5% or more in the year to September 2022. This ranged from 7.5% for households in the highest income decile up to 9.5% for households in the second lowest income decile.
Indices | Estimated difference |
---|---|
1st (Lowest) Income Decile | 0.8 |
2nd Income Decile | 1.3 |
3rd Income Decile | 0.8 |
4th Income Decile | 0.6 |
5th Income Decile | 0.4 |
6th Income Decile | 0.1 |
7th Income Decile | -0.1 |
8th Income Decile | -0.5 |
9th Income Decile | -0.5 |
10th (Highest) Income Decile | -0.7 |
Owned Outright | 0.2 |
Owned with Mortgage | -0.4 |
Rented from Local Authority | 0.9 |
Rented from Private Owner | 0.1 |
Urban | -0.1 |
Rural | 0.5 |
Reference Person aged under 35 | -0.2 |
Reference Person aged 35 to 64 | -0.2 |
Reference Person aged 65 and over | 0.8 |
1 adult | 1 |
1 adult with children | 0.9 |
2 adults | 0.2 |
2 adults with 1 to 3 children | 0 |
3 plus adults | -0.6 |
Other households with children | -0.3 |
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