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Private Sector (S.11 + S.1415)

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The total debt (defined as the sum of consolidated stock positions of AF.3 Debt Securities and AF.4 Loans) of the Private Sector1, which peaked in 2012 at €489.2bn, rose by 3.6% during 2014 to stand at €497.8bn by year-end. The threshold of 133 per cent of GDP, set as part of the Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure (MIP), was exceeded again in 2014. Figure 8 shows the development of Private Sector debt since 2004. The contribution from households to total private sector debt – composed mainly of mortgage-related debt – has maintained a steady decline from its peak in 2008 of €202.7bn, falling by €44.4bn in the intervening period. In contrast, non-financial corporate debt grew by 8.8% in 2014 which drove the overall increase in Private Sector debt.

S.11 Non-Financial CorporationsS.1415 Households and NPISHMIP Threshold
200479.36464233438370.0886048230017133
200587.649144564257582.6908470934717133
200699.006993710365391.5276766097079133
200799.181593646807998.6096683289885133
2008128.462061816972108.089590247148133
2009139.814450306525116.688907683745133
2010147.949987210929111.269127183546133
2011170.506496493044102.741750028746133
2012180.50641656972399.3107006123166133
2013173.95541987999893.8462850178631133
2014179.59395046388283.7500310771088133

The flow of Private Sector credit (defined as the sum of consolidated transactions in AF.3 Debt Securities and AF.4 Loans) was +13.7 per cent of GDP during 2014. As shown in Figure 9, this was just within the upper threshold of +14 per cent set under the Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure. A positive credit flow equates to a net incurrence of debt during the year whereas a negative sign indicates a net running-down of debt during the same accounting period. The negative credit flows occurring in the Household sector since 2008, cumulatively amounting to €35.0bn, correspond to a net repayment, primarily, of mortgage related debt.

Total Credit FlowUpper MIP ThresholdLower MIP Threshold
200423.584839214069214-14
200533.637941918263414-14
200640.748786118352914-14
200724.879005063086914-14
200822.304251942977614-14
2009-5.0090980613427114-14
20102.5848968599070214-14
201116.07163389674614-14
2012-0.73494002088716714-14
2013-1.6539638011520914-14
201413.654355899810614-14

1Defined as the sum of the S.11 Non-financial corporations sector and the S.1415 Households and Non-profit Institutions serving Households sector.

 

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