Household saving
Gross disposable income of households (B.6g) and the adjustment for the change in pension entitlements (D.8) together comprise actual gross disposable income of households. The growth rate of actual disposable income is illustrated by the line graph in Figure 1 below. The contributions to this trend by the various components of actual gross disposable income are illustrated in the bar charts. The significance of compensation of employees (COE) and net social benefits in explaining both the negative trend at the time of the financial crisis and subsequent recovery in recent years can be seen.
COE | Net property inc , Adj in pension entitlements and other curr transfers | Gross disposable inc | GOS | Net Soc benefits | Current taxes | |
2004 | 6.40500014977876 | 0.438550226733282 | 7.26844250241112 | 1.51840976104604 | 0.84280739688991 | -2.46944184295531 |
2005 | 8.37540139127464 | -0.737703985786625 | 10.0465721176407 | 2.3098121948144 | 1.06662830709905 | -1.83184854642369 |
2006 | 7.55280205881073 | -0.58811689216552 | 7.53494414440364 | 1.85734282162633 | 0.801991928412568 | -2.58823300647181 |
2007 | 7.31658736215079 | -1.71036862523111 | 8.78684836461867 | 2.95779909729603 | 0.74094698733955 | -1.15848659358379 |
2008 | 2.23319545396185 | -0.741771200666897 | 6.1515037448095 | 0.0990601543861104 | 2.39166897543082 | 1.81323996694355 |
2009 | -7.80112648341252 | 0.374223541547533 | -7.60570257678042 | -6.41489100183268 | 4.06983291763379 | 1.63535820433457 |
2010 | -6.36246218885335 | 0.491978178762392 | -5.52330865155003 | -1.39664025757008 | 0.752802683203692 | 0.707283146402429 |
2011 | 0.160093291457087 | -1.14851273679058 | -1.83502836649242 | 1.36654390074683 | -0.497256715932332 | -1.74822787767153 |
2012 | -0.636526253196956 | 1.92414177786164 | -0.544947992139749 | -1.40547340163781 | 0.99081128645796 | -1.41932277037677 |
2013 | 0.542399040931092 | -1.0537532676316 | -0.710460224508046 | 1.64326102429112 | -1.4583298947383 | -0.387475163160558 |
2014 | 2.71910810246799 | 0.842219399209641 | 2.72340754692114 | 2.4646282789879 | -1.47437738539225 | -1.89376660855833 |
In overall terms household actual gross disposable income increased from €85.9bn in 2013 to €88.2bn in 2014. At the same time household final expenditure on goods and services also increased by a greater amount from €80.7bn in 2013 to €83.8bn in 2014. As a result the gross saving of households (B.8g) fell from €5.2bn in 2013 to €4.4bn in 2014. Expressed as a percentage of actual gross disposable income the corresponding gross saving ratio was 6.1 per cent in 2013 and 5 per cent in 2014.
Figure 2 shows actual gross disposable income, final expenditure on goods and services and the saving ratio for the household sector for the period 2004 - 2014. Also included in Figure 2 is the EU saving ratio. The EU saving ratio declined from 10.9 per cent in 2013 to 10.6 per cent in 2014.
PCE | GDI | Saving Ratio | EU Saving Ratio | |
2004 | 68.6775571571633 | 72.2579380542639 | 7.80909555608072 | 12.15 |
2005 | 74.6747138162865 | 79.2950378814342 | 8.68386907598016 | 11.53 |
2006 | 81.6543594060622 | 85.0987142871843 | 6.96080886910014 | 11.03 |
2007 | 89.7010954901656 | 92.186502019826 | 5.84870752660091 | 10.84 |
2008 | 91.1158221982034 | 97.8543213512103 | 9.73662353196326 | 11.14 |
2009 | 80.3372032782198 | 90.9793959198099 | 14.1162214509043 | 13.36 |
2010 | 78.7101792536322 | 86.2606102358741 | 11.0946729001081 | 12.18 |
2011 | 79.6587808591706 | 84.7234370582816 | 8.38604473437638 | 11.52 |
2012 | 79.3381247551023 | 84.4046224004043 | 8.26830566942637 | 11.12 |
2013 | 80.6814140945055 | 83.9111666745503 | 6.0645649530219 | 10.91 |
2014 | 83.773217685726 | 86.087969014116 | 4.99569925320201 | 10.56 |
Household debt
The balance sheet position in relation to household debt (Table 3 Liabilities – AF.4 Loans) declined from €168bn in 2013 to €158bn in 2014. The resulting household debt to income ratio, which measures the sustainability of household debt, decreased from 196 per cent in 2013 to 180 per cent in 2014.
Figure 3 charts the movement in these series for the period 2004 to 2014.
Debt | GDI | Debt to Income Ratio | |
2004 | 109.462393592215 | 74.4949380542639 | 146.939371252957 |
2005 | 140.556610681422 | 81.7760378814342 | 171.879947137097 |
2006 | 169.256676576979 | 87.7634020820109 | 192.855646615449 |
2007 | 194.313755635398 | 95.2733553981845 | 203.953933209642 |
2008 | 202.719281384493 | 100.944398230514 | 200.822715215527 |
2009 | 197.707799798438 | 93.5417661349108 | 211.357779489959 |
2010 | 184.881859554364 | 88.5325793416129 | 208.829180093101 |
2011 | 178.708696910449 | 86.9504876502816 | 205.529263538145 |
2012 | 173.63916225702 | 86.4893266543093 | 200.76368839249 |
2013 | 168.405120927375 | 85.8902862952153 | 196.070042598934 |
2014 | 158.325543475246 | 88.178342482616 | 179.551507793945 |
Use of household saving
Household saving peaked at €13.2bn in 2009 and has since fallen back to €4.4bn in 2014. How households have been using their saving is illustrated in Figure 4 below. The line graph is the trend in actual gross household saving while the bar chart illustrates transactions in investment and borrowing by households1.
During the entire period there is a clear link between transactions in loans (Liabilities F.4) and transactions in gross capital formation (GFCF) of households (P.5). The transactions in loans relate predominantly to borrowing to fund investment in property while the capital formation relates to the property investments themselves.
Since 2009 households have not been borrowing, in net terms. At the same time investment in property has fallen to levels that can be financed by the saving of the sector without having recourse to borrowing. In fact the gross capital formation of households fell from a high of €25.9bn in 2006 to a low of €5.4bn in 2012. Household investment stood at €6.3bn in 2014. Repayment of loans or deleveraging, amounting to €4.6bn continued to be a major use of household saving in 2014 as has disposals of shares that amounted to €3.3bn in 2014. The use of household saving to fund deposits (Table 2 – Assets F.2) and investment in insurance and pension funds (Table 2 – Assets F.6) is also apparent from the graph.
GFCF | Net Capital Transfers | Shares | Loans less deposits | Insurance and Pensions | Gross Saving | |
2004 | 18.6882863776184 | 2.00759826030049 | -2.26811115475298 | -11.5656247782599 | 6.21509398901206 | 5.81738089710061 |
2005 | 22.8551646641102 | 1.9358979356915 | 2.40365982823255 | -19.9860746333252 | 3.33363745061 | 7.10132406514768 |
2006 | 25.9125923098072 | 1.96528931311393 | -0.272348022191843 | -16.5813293556452 | 3.70913748491 | 6.10904267594863 |
2007 | 23.1748916257377 | 1.80793276127698 | -2.03245716290108 | -18.300860826143 | 4.04262366651 | 5.57225990801885 |
2008 | 17.2408562962229 | 2.13631921336657 | -0.729970765717352 | -3.80140820036876 | 2.94997591611 | 9.82857603231097 |
2009 | 8.85566968758061 | 2.65681619221319 | -0.674950254642624 | 7.27508499032875 | 2.81277415124 | 13.204562856691 |
2010 | 6.12868565249108 | 2.740120938612 | -5.38573918624236 | 10.3665327830498 | 3.1185432662 | 9.82240008798067 |
2011 | 5.57465402214785 | 2.471588993791 | -1.83762097173598 | 7.17540846533804 | 3.1038554093 | 7.29170679111102 |
2012 | 5.35298876050291 | 2.51862715863 | -9.16534547785755 | 10.591423505438 | 2.54468155823051 | 7.15120189920695 |
2013 | 5.47352311149575 | 2.53471799548535 | -2.729826490816 | 4.98479988054502 | 2.52166258446823 | 5.2088722007098 |
2014 | 6.30159992232246 | 2.458980909 | -3.2955485048902 | 5.58703581946123 | 2.60451817525881 | 4.40512479688996 |
1It is important to make the distinction between balance sheet measures of household debt i.e. the outstanding stock of loans illustrated in Figure 3 and transactions in loans i.e. increases (+) or decreases (-) included in Figure 4
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