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Preliminary GDP Estimate Quarter 2 2026

Early estimates indicate that Gross Domestic Product increased by 3.9% in Quarter 2 2026

CSO statistical release, , 11am
A CSO Frontier Series Output

This release is categorised as a CSO Frontier Series Output. Particular care must be taken when interpreting the statistics in this release as it may use new methods which are under development and/or data sources which may be incomplete, for example new administrative data sources.

Key Findings

  • Early estimates indicate that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increased by an estimated 3.9% in Quarter 2 (Q2) 2026, when compared with Q1 2026.

  • The result was driven mainly by an increase in the multinational dominated sector of Information & Communication in Q2 2026.

Statistician's Comment

The Central Statistics Office (CSO) has today (29 July 2026) published its latest Preliminary GDP Estimate for Quarter 2 (Q2) 2026. This release is a CSO Frontier Series output and care must be taken when interpreting these results as methodologies may change and data sources may be incomplete.

These preliminary results are subject to revisions in the Quarterly National Accounts (QNA) Q2 2026 release, which will be published in early September 2026 when additional data sources are available to the CSO. The results will be further updated following the release of the Annual National Accounts for 2026.

Commenting on the release, Enda Behan, Statistician in the National Accounts Integration Division, said: "In today’s release, GDP is estimated to have expanded by 3.9% in April, May, and June (Q2) 2026 in volume terms when compared with Q1 2026. This was driven by an increase in the multinational dominated sector of Information & Communication in Q2 2026.  

These preliminary estimates are based on forecasting and data sources that are limited in scope when compared with those used for compiling GDP in the CSO’s Quarterly National Accounts. The data sources include information from the CSO Large Cases Unit, Retail Sales, Administrative Payroll Data, and other indicators of activity. Please see the Background Notes for more details on these estimates and the methodology used to calculate the preliminary results."

Quarter-on-quarter percentage change

The preliminary GDP estimate shows a seasonally adjusted increase of 3.9% in Q2 2026 in volume terms when compared with Q1 2026.

Qtr on Qtr
Q1 2023-4.7128
Q2 20230.5722
Q3 20231.1469
Q4 2023-4.9319
Q1 20242.6355
Q2 2024-0.0477
Q3 20247.5958
Q4 20241.5518
Q1 20256.9208
Q2 2025-4.3534
Q3 20251.2553
Q4 2025-3.5913
Q1 2026-6.9873
Q2 20263.9207
Table 1 Gross Domestic Product at Constant Market Prices (Chain linked annually and referenced to year 2024) - Seasonally Adjusted

Year-on-year percentage change

Year on Year
Q1 20231.5673
Q2 2023-1.8374
Q3 2023-5.11
Q4 2023-7.3832
Q1 2024-1.4022
Q2 2024-0.9928
Q3 20244.7173
Q4 202412.2843
Q1 202517.897
Q2 202510.9217
Q3 20254.7456
Q4 2025-0.3842
Q1 2026-13.0324
Q2 2026-1.556
Table 2 Gross Domestic Product at Constant Market Prices (Chain linked annually and referenced to year 2024) - Non-Seasonally Adjusted

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