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Headline Economic Results

Headline Economic Results

Decrease of 0.3% in GDP but Modified Domestic Demand up 2.3% in Quarter 3

Online ISSN: 2009-5775
CSO statistical release, , 11am
Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2023 prices, Q3 20251
 Amount €mQuarterly % change
Gross Domestic Product152,551-0.3
Gross National Product106,7600.8
Modified Final Domestic Demand72,3562.3
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2023, seasonally adjusted

Updated estimates for the third quarter of 2025 indicate that GDP fell by 0.3% in real terms in Q3 2025 compared to the previous quarter while GNP increased by 0.8%. Modified Domestic Demand, a broad measure of underlying domestic activity that covers personal, government and investment spending grew by 2.3% in Q3.

GDPGNPMDD
Q1 2023-1.85984318605884-1.085229787891387.23475569444845
Q2 20230.69777885638246910.7417736059464-1.02711134001165
Q3 2023-1.98242066781024-2.77715707331773-1.01197655900128
Q4 2023-3.153089780438944.076911835421562.29483823275363
Q1 20241.64355523210629-4.398486219909950.376357205159361
Q2 20240.4483432609062815.35422018346987-0.227100125555413
Q3 20246.106484514439911.540591990968831.09329985711339
Q4 20243.33481914520906-3.92966965163404-0.080970260076707
Q1 20257.42401091665745-8.040880633906442.51180260964685
Q2 20250.25877367309508115.31332407499520.454975869148111
Q3 2025-0.3418705273517950.7666726336282632.33641009971428

Get the data: NAQ03

Industry (excl. Construction)Information & CommunicationProfessional, Admin & Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels & RestaurantsPublic Admin, Education & HealthReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesConstructionArts, Entertainment & Other ServicesAgriculture, Forestry & Fishing
Q2 202554.739459278829.554063565914.240467468113.299003526612.26437607937.6089855076.55155582873.92620402021.3855908521.0282595839
Q3 202554.344992937829.716935787414.411086688613.301073330712.17045975697.66559445547.0598392893.79799172141.42647105291.0622647523

Get the data: NAQ02

The MNE dominated sectors of the economy expanded by 0.2% in the third quarter of 2025. The Industry (excluding Construction) sector contracted by 0.7%, while the Information & Communication sector grew by 0.6% in the quarter. Overall, the non-MNE sectors contracted by 0.1%. However, there was strong growth in the domestic facing Financial & Insurance Activities sector of 7.8%. The Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing and Arts & Entertainment sectors posted robust growth of 3.3% and 3.0% respectively. The domestic facing sectors which posted declines were Construction which decreased by 3.3% and Public Administration, Education & Health which fell by 0.8%. (See Tables 2.5 and 6.3).

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
Q1 202338.383512586612.851904262931.11441724180.823717070950.058410376967.7226788278132.8180885567
Q2 202338.474197319713.0645753328.91181764383.536139969748.026833998667.0270915138133.7448650961
Q3 202338.063725941813.218164265527.4167823944.306194794548.287203174566.3487930595131.0934792483
Q4 202338.888505640414.038247384143.35610981340.621697137927.556980015267.8713905296126.9599841513
Q1 202439.142150724513.526066907127.68836533561.091241368248.345362507668.1268293981129.0466416135
Q2 202439.429616374613.967291498511.04261325181.823186663262.16015543267.972113283129.6252135346
Q3 202439.629217315814.036799710729.32444980121.842490871250.300755331668.7152523004137.5407571259
Q4 202440.19570370914.403198689725.44399438430.500576180261.863090249368.6596133819142.127492627
Q1 202540.310966487614.132243293443.9571616645-4.866445693860.968330080470.3842073426152.6790531952
Q2 202540.661229688514.417509125627.90635017651.306142601269.817522698370.7044385017153.0741463892
Q3 202540.719074219614.718232848731.38833116776.423647548259.593576687372.3563841438152.5508309977

Get the data: NAQ03NAQ04NAQ05

On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.5), Exports increased by 2.1% in Q3 2025 compared with Q2 2025 while Imports increased by 10.4% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter contracted by 14.6%. Capital Investment increased by €8.6 billion during the quarter (a 29.4% increase quarter-on-quarter) with the Capital Formation element increasing by €3.5 billion (a 12.5% increase quarter-on-quarter) reflecting higher levels of investment in Intangible Assets compared with the previous quarter. Personal Consumption Expenditure grew by 0.1% in Q3 2025 compared with the previous quarter, while Government Expenditure on Current Goods and Services rose by 2.1% quarter-on-quarter. These impacts when combined resulted in an overall decrease in Real GDP in Q3 2025 of 0.3%. Final Domestic Demand grew by 4.6% in Q3 compared with the previous quarter, driven by the higher investment in Intangible Assets, while Modified Domestic Demand grew by 2.3% over the same period.

GDPNet Factor Income from Rest of WorldGNP
Q1 2023132.8180885567-42.203518618790.7478500925
Q2 2023133.7448650961-33.2342464278100.4957787017
Q3 2023131.0934792483-33.387140916297.7048530751
Q4 2023126.9599841513-25.1548354263101.6881937939
Q1 2024129.0466416135-31.831189010897.2154526026
Q2 2024129.6252135346-27.2046315473102.4205819873
Q3 2024137.5407571259-33.5422918554103.9984652705
Q4 2024142.127492627-42.215823484399.9116691426
Q1 2025152.6790531952-60.801162107791.8778910875
Q2 2025153.0741463892-47.1266960861105.947450303
Q3 2025152.5508309977-45.7911105872106.7597204105

Get the data: NAQ03

Factor income outflows fell by 2.8% in the quarter, a fall of €1.3 billion in money terms compared with the previous quarter, leading to an increase in GNP of 0.8%.

The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the Annual National Accounts. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published.