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Greenfield FDI

Greenfield FDI

Greenfield FDI, representing new investment, was €44bn in 2023

CSO statistical release, , 11am

FDI can be broken down by certain characteristics into further components which allow for additional analysis. A distinction is often drawn between greenfield FDI and other types of FDI transactions (mergers & acquisitions, extension of capital and financial restructuring). The rationale behind drawing this distinction is that the transfer of ownership (merger & acquisition investment) will usually have a significantly different economic impact than the purchase or sale of new shares (greenfield investment), the extension of capital or financial restructuring.

Greenfield FDI can be described as ex nihilo investment: the establishment of a subsidiary “out of nothing”. As recommended by Eurostat, greenfield statistics in this chapter are compiled using FDI transactions data; recognizing that the intent of an FDI transaction relates more closely with greenfield investment than FDI stock data. Specifically, transactions of FDI equity other than reinvestment of earnings have been used to compute the figures for greenfield FDI in this new method. Furthermore, under the transactions approach, an enterprise would also be classified as “greenfield” for 3 years after the initial investment to reflect the average time involved in establishing new functioning fixed capital in the host economy.

In Figure 5.1 greenfield FDI transactions are shown between 2013 and 2023. There is a spike in 2015 which coincides with a significant increase in Irish FDI inward. The negative figures in 2017, 2019, 2020 and 2022 are the result of disinvestment of funds in the pharmaceutical sector. The increase in 2023 is seen mostly in pharmaceuticals and medical equipment.

Greenfield FDI
20139.108611586
201411.152602518
201538.191747245
201652.498631291
2017-24.815002648
201818.098339528
2019-8.860937062
2020-3.265831857
20216.659678826
2022-8.183975797
202327.821148292

Source Publications: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2023

Figure 5.2 displays the contribution which greenfield has had on overall inward FDI transactions in Ireland.

Non-Greenfield FDI TransactionsGreenfield FDI
201326.5527584149.108611586
201428.37715748211.152602518
2015156.02155275538.191747245
2016-31.42741129152.498631291
201786.299912648-24.815002648
2018-22.91715852818.098339528
2019155.183337062-8.860937062
202099.183911857-3.265831857
2021-16.4650838266.659678826
2022-44.850984203-8.183975797
2023-30.29658929227.821148292

Source Publications: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2023

Broader Definition

A broader definition of greenfield FDI proposed by Eurostat1 would be to say that greenfield FDI is both investment in new FDI enterprises and new capital injections into existing enterprises. The rationale for including extension of capital into the greenfield definition is that a capital injection which is used to extend the capacity of an existing direct investment enterprise would have a similar effect on the host economy as a traditional greenfield investment would have.

The figure for “Broad Greenfield” is comprised of:

1) FDI equity transactions in enterprises that are no more than 3 years old

    and

2) Any follow-up direct investment transactions in existing foreign direct enterprises that are used to acquire fixed assets

Figure 3.3 shows the components of greenfield FDI under the broader definition applied to our data for years 2013 to 2023. In 2023, greenfield FDI was €72.7 billion, of which €27.8 billion was made of FDI flows in foreign multinationals no more than 3 years old and €44.9 billion was comprised of follow-up investments within existing enterprises that were used to acquire fixed assets. The extension of capital component is large in several years due to the onshoring of IP and aircraft.

GreenfieldExtension of Capital
20139.1086115862.478192097
201411.15260251816.96329831
201538.1917472459.055078566
201652.49863129134.677027839
2017-24.81500264843.269550238
201818.09833952870.461154377
2019-8.860937062124.325503908
2020-3.26583185768.16256893
20216.65967882631.010866312
2022-8.18397579726.793585665
202327.82114829244.919458272

Source Publications:  Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2023

Figure 5.4 shows the same new method used to calculate greenfield FDI but with some features of MNE activity unique to Ireland removed. Namely, the FDI financing of intangible assets, intellectual property and tangible fixed assets in the aircraft leasing sector. These features have been removed from the extension of capital component; recognising that this activity in Ireland can result in the figures for greenfield being difficult to interpret. Only investments used to acquire tangible fixed assets are included in the extension of capital component in this “modified broad greenfield” analysis. In 2023, modified broad greenfield was €44 billion.

GreenfieldExtension of Capital
20139.108611586-0.141410654
201411.1526025185.968801086
201538.1917472455.917474641
201652.4986312919.617792518
2017-24.8150026485.495232489
201818.0983395287.97074266
2019-8.8609370629.84992586
2020-3.26583185710.40635791
20216.65967882610.7903236576
2022-8.18397579719.343407275
202327.82114829216.199779405

Source Publications:  Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2023

Figure 5.5 compares the figures for broad and narrow greenfield. Here, narrow greenfield refers to greenfield without the extension of capital component (shown in figure 5.1).

Broad GreenfieldNarrow GreenfieldModified Broad Greenfield
201311.5868036839.1086115868.967200932
201428.11590082811.15260251817.121403604
201547.24682581138.19174724544.109221886
201687.1756591352.49863129162.116423809
201718.45454759-24.815002648-19.319770159
201888.55949390518.09833952826.069082188
2019115.464566846-8.8609370620.988988798000001
202064.896737073-3.2658318577.140526053
202137.6705451386.65967882617.4500024836
202218.609609868-8.18397579711.159431478
202372.74060656427.82114829244.020927697

Source Publications: Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2023

Figure 5.6 displays the contribution that the modified broad greenfield figure has on overall FDI transactions.

Modified Broad GreenfieldNon-Greenfield FDI Transactions
201326.6941690688.967200932
201422.40835639617.121403604
2015150.10407811444.109221886
2016-41.04520380962.116423809
201780.804680159-19.319770159
2018-30.88790118826.069082188
2019145.3334112020.988988798000001
202088.7775539477.140526053
2021-27.255407483617.4500024836
2022-64.19439147811.159431478
2023-46.49636869744.020927697

Source Publications:  Foreign Direct Investment Annual 2023

It is important to highlight a key assumption made in order to apply this broader greenfield definition to our data. Since extension of capital refers to an additional investment made to an affiliate which results in the extension of capacity of that affiliate, transactions of fixed assets were used as a proxy for follow-up investments that increased the capacity of the enterprise. The assumption is therefore that the additional direct investment is equal to the transaction in fixed assets.

References

Eurostat, Balance of Payments Working Group 2-3 Dec 2019.