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Press Statement

Preasráiteas

06 December 2019

Press Statement Probation Reoffending Statistics (Formerly known as Probation Recidivism) 2013, 2014 and 2015 Cohorts

The majority of those sentenced to probation do not reoffend within three years of their sentence
  • Close to three in ten offenders managed by the Probation Service reoffend within one year and four in ten reoffend within two years
  • In the most recent cohort for which a three-year reoffending rate is available, 2013, 45.3% of individuals committed at least one additional crime for which they received a conviction
  • The level of reoffending within one year, by those in the 2015 cohort, subject to Post Release Supervision Orders (16.4%) is notably lower than those subject to Probation (32.7%) or Community Service Orders (28%)
  • Males are more likely to reoffend than females (29.7% vs 28.5% in the 2015 cohort) but the gap between genders has decreased significantly compared to earlier cohorts where the difference was up to 13 percentage points (2009 and 2010 cohorts)
  • There is considerable geographical variation in the level of reoffending. Data for the 2015 cohort indicates that 16.7% of individuals with a Co. Mayo address reoffend within one year compared to almost half (49.1%) of individuals with an address in Co. Westmeath
  • Individuals referred to Probation following a Burglary conviction are more likely to reoffend than those referred for any other offence type. Those sentenced following conviction for Sexual offences are least likely to reoffend

Go to release: Probation Reoffending Statistics 2013, 2014 and 2015 Cohorts

The Central Statistics Office (CSO) has today (06 December 2019), published the Probation Reoffending Statistics. The publication includes data for individuals who entered the Probation Service in 2013, 2014 and 2015.

The publication provides information on the level of recorded reoffending by offenders that were placed under the supervision of the Irish Probation Service. For an offender to be classified as a reoffender they must be convicted for an offence recorded within one to three years from the date their probation began. The conviction must be within two years of the incident taking place. In the case of an offender who was sentenced to Probation on 31 December 2013 for example, the crime incident must take place before 31 December 2016 and a conviction must be obtained on or before 31 December 2019.

Commenting on the latest Probation Reoffending data, Olive Loughnane, Statistician, said: “This publication supersedes the Probation Recidivism Statistics Publication. The range of data published has been expanded to meet the information needs of customers. Information on Post Release Supervision Orders, a geographical breakdown of reoffending rates and an analysis of reoffending patterns over one-year and two-year periods have been included for the first time.

The level of reoffending within one year has fallen from a high of 35.5% in the 2008 cohort to a low of 28% in the 2013 cohort. The 2015 figure was 30.3%. These figures exclude Post Release Supervision Orders which were included for the first time in the analysis of the 2013 cohort. Those aged under 18 are almost three times more likely to reoffend as those aged 45 and over. The level of reoffending by individuals on Post Release Supervision Orders (16.4%) is approximately half that of those on Probation Orders (32.7%).”

Editor's Note:

The publication is published using the category of Statistics Under Reservation, the category introduced to highlight concerns regarding the quality of underlying data from An Garda Síochána’s PULSE database.

Read more here:Statistics Under Reservation FAQs

Read more here:Probation Reoffending Statistics FAQs

For further information contact:

Olive Loughnane (+353) 21 453 5281 or Sam Scriven (+353) 21 453 5276

or email crime@cso.ie

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