This publication is categorised as a CSO Frontier Series Output. Particular care must be taken when interpreting the statistics in this release as it may use new methods which are under development and/or data sources which may be incomplete, for example new administrative data sources.
As of the week ending 19 June 2022 there have been 38,700 Personal Public Service Numbers (PPSNs) issued to individuals from Ukraine under the Temporary Protection Directive.
Women aged 20 and over account for 47% of arrivals to date, while individuals aged 0-19 (both male and female) account for 37%.
The highest percentage of those arriving (41% or 15,850 individuals) were categorised as 'One parent with children' under the broad relationship classification headings used. Note that spouses/partners may have stayed in Ukraine.
As of 07 June 2022, of the 6,890 children who arrived from Ukraine and enrolled in school, 71% were in primary education while 29% were in secondary education.
Based on administrative data currently available to the CSO, of the arrivals from Ukraine aged 18 and older, 89% showed activity in administrative data after the 15 May 2022.
In response to the situation, the CSO provides statistics related to the Ukrainian crisis to an inter-Departmental group called the Senior Officials Group. The statistics are derived from a weekly Department of Social Protection (DSP) extract which the CSO receives every Monday. Some of the aggregate data provided to the Group this week features in the release issued today (24 June 2022). This release is also a follow-up to Arrivals from Ukraine in Ireland Series 2.
As well as the strict legal protections set out in the Statistics Act, 1993, and other existing regulations, the CSO is committed to protecting individual privacy and all identifiable information from each of the data sources used in our analysis, such as name, date of birth and addresses, are removed before use and only anonymised statistical aggregates are produced. For further information on the data sources, linking procedures and definitions of this report, see Background Notes.
The Temporary Protection Directive (2001/55 EC) was activated on the 04 March 2022 by EU Council Decision EU 2022/382, to provide immediate protection in EU countries for people displaced by the Russian invasion of Ukraine that began on the 24 February 2022. This publication examines and analyses the population cohort that availed of the temporary protection and received a PPSN. Therefore, the figures quoted should be interpreted as estimates of the numbers arriving from Ukraine. For example, the number of persons who have arrived from Ukraine may not have received a PPSN yet, while the figures may also include those who received a PPSN earlier in the crisis but who are no longer resident in the State.
To avail of the Temporary Protection Directive and to reside in Ireland, an Arrival from Ukraine must meet the following criteria:
a) A Ukrainian national who was residing in Ukraine before 24 February 2022;
b) A national of a third country (other than Ukraine) or stateless person who would have benefited from international protection (for example: Refugee Status) or an equivalent national protection status in Ukraine and were residing there before 24 February 2022;
c) A family member* of persons covered by a) and b) above, where the family already existed in Ukraine at the time of events leading to the mass influx prior to 24 February 2022
*Family members include a spouse or partner, unmarried minor children of either of them, and their other close dependent family relatives who have been living with them as part of the family unit.
Temporary protection also applies to people who were residing in Ukraine before 24 February 2022 with a permanent Ukrainian residence permit, who cannot safely return to their country of origin.
Figure 1 shows the total cumulative number of arrivals (based on PPSN allocations) from Ukraine to Ireland for the week ending 19 June 2022 was 38,700. This is a 3% increase compared to the cumulative count one week earlier and a 17% increase compared to four weeks earlier.
Based on the 38,700 arrivals, 91% or 35,370 individuals could be mapped to a local post office address, through which they were seeking assistance from the Department of Social Protection, for instance to collect social protection payments personally. Using the post office address as a tentative proxy for place of residence, Map 1 presents the count for the week ending 19 June 2022 by LEA for the 35,370 mapped records. LEAs with lighter colours correspond with lower counts while the darker areas correspond with LEA with higher counts. Users can hover their mouse over the map to see the name of the LEA and the associated count. Users can also zoom in on the map to see some of the LEAs that are smaller in geographical area.
Table 2 shows the age and sex breakdown of arrivals as of 19 June 2022. We see that women aged 20 and over account for 47% of this cohort to date, while individuals aged 0-19 (both male and female) account for 37%.
Again using the same approach as described for Map 1 above, Map 2 shows the arrival rate (%) by LEA (per 100 of the population using the Census 2016 de facto definition) as of 19 June 2022. The rate ranges from 0.01% to 7.28% in LEAs across the country.
Table 3 focuses on active welfare claims broken down by 'Working Age Income Supports', 'Child Benefits' and 'Other'. Please note that data is preliminary and subject to change as additional data becomes available, particularly for the most recent week reported.
Looking at relationships between arrivals from Ukraine, based on PPSN allocations data, Table 4 shows that 41% (or 15,850 individuals) were in the relationship category 'One parent with children', the highest percentage among the broad relationship categories used. Relationships to persons who did not arrive under the Temporary Protection Directive - for example persons already resident in Ireland, or persons such as spouses remaining in Ukraine, are excluded.
Table 5 shows that as of the latest available data, 6,890 arrivals from Ukraine have enrolled in schools in the academic year 2021/22, with 71% of these in primary schools and the remaining 29% in secondary schools. Dublin has the highest number of children enrolled in schools at 1,205 while Monaghan had the lowest at 23.
Table 6a focuses on primary school enrolments by classes while Table 6b provides a breakdown on secondary school enrolments by year within the junior and senior cycles.
In this release, of the 6,890 arrivals from Ukraine that enrolled in schools, 78% were successfully linked to Department of Social Protection administrative data using a pseudonymised Protected Identifier Key (PIK). For further information on the data sources, linking procedures and definitions of this report, see Background Notes. Table 7 shows that average time between the allocation of a PPSN to enrolment in primary or secondary school was just over two weeks.
Table 8 shows a breakdown of the school enrolments by age as of 13 June 2022 for primary and 07 June 2022 for secondary enrolments.
Experimental Table 9 below gives an indication if arrivals from Ukraine have stayed or left Ireland by examining activity in administrative data. Subject to revision, 89% of persons aged 18 and over had activity after the 15 May 2022 in the available data, see Background notes. The rate of administrative activity after 15 May 2022 could be underestimated as it is based on the administrative data currently available to the CSO. The availability of more real-time data to the CSO, such as weekly PAYE Modernisation (PMOD) data, will help provide more up to date statistics in this series going forward.
Statistician's Comment
Commenting on the release, Karola Graupner, Statistician, said: “This Arrivals from Ukraine in Ireland release is the third in a series of releases by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) providing insights into Ireland’s response to the Ukrainian crisis. This release includes an analysis of Ukrainian arrivals who are availing of support and services from the Department of Social Protection, as well as providing insights into primary and secondary school enrolments overseen by the Department of Education. Also included is an experimental measure of arrivals from Ukraine that where still administratively active after the 15th May, incorporating PAYE Modernisation (PMOD) data".
Further commenting on the release, Karola Graupner, Statistician, said: "Based on the local post office address as per the process through which refugees were seeking assistance from the Department of Social Protection, we also show two maps in this release based on mapping 35,370 individuals, or 91% of arrivals, to a local post office: the first map is a count of arrivals by Local Electoral Area (LEA), and the second is the rate of arrivals by LEA (per 100 of the Census 2016 population). Using the local post office address as a proxy for place of residence, arrivals from Ukraine are present in all LEAs and North Inner City in Dublin had the highest number of associated arrivals from Ukraine at 1,245.
Our analysis also shows that the rate per 100 of the population ranges across all LEAs in the country from 0.01% to 7.28%. The LEA with the highest rate is Ennistimon in Clare."