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CSO statistical release, 30 June 2015, 11am

Monthly Unemployment

June 2015

	Seasonally adjusted number of persons unemployed	Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (%)
June 2014	244,000	11.4
May 2015	208,600	9.7
June 2015	208,100	9.7
		Percentage Points
Change in month	- 500	0.0
Change in year	- 35,900	- 1.7

Monthly unemployment rate of 9.7% in June 2015

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The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for June 2015 was 9.7%, unchanged from the revised May 2015 rate and down from 11.4% in June 2014. The seasonally adjusted number of persons unemployed was 208,100 in June 2015, a decrease of 500 when compared to May 2015 or a decrease of 35,900 when compared to June 2014.

Summary points for June

In June 2015 the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 10.8% for males, compared to 10.9% in May 2015 and 13.0% in June 2014.
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for females in June 2015 was 8.3%, unchanged from May 2015 and down from 9.3% in June 2014.
The number of males unemployed in June 2015 was 127,900. This represents a decrease of 1,100 when compared to May 2015. In June 2015 the number of females unemployed was 80,200, an increase of 600 from May 2015.
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for persons aged 15-24 years (youth unemployment rate) was 19.8% in June 2015. This compares to 20.0% in May 2015.

The data in this release are subject to revision, caused by updates to the seasonally adjusted series whenever new monthly data are added. In addition it should be noted that larger revisions can occur when the most recent Quarterly National Household Survey (QNHS) data are included in the calculation process. Revised figures will be produced upon the publication of each new set of benckmark figures from the QNHS and these revisions will be included in the QNHS release.

Show Table 1a Seasonally adjusted monthly unemployment and monthly unemployment rate by sex - all persons aged 15-74 years

Table 1a Seasonally adjusted monthly unemployment by sex - All persons aged 15-74 years

		Number of persons			Unemployment rate (%)
		Males	Females	All Persons	Males	Females	All Persons
2013	June	184,000	106,300	290,400	15.5	11.0	13.4
	July	180,800	99,700	280,500	15.2	10.3	13.0
	August	176,500	96,900	273,500	14.8	10.0	12.7
	September	172,300	97,600	269,900	14.5	10.1	12.5
	October	166,900	99,400	266,300	14.0	10.3	12.3
	November	163,600	100,400	263,900	13.7	10.4	12.2
	December	162,800	100,000	262,800	13.7	10.3	12.2

2014	January	164,100	98,700	262,800	13.8	10.2	12.2
	February	164,500	97,000	261,500	13.9	10.1	12.2
	March	163,200	95,900	259,100	13.8	9.9	12.0
	April	160,700	92,200	253,000	13.6	9.6	11.8
	May	158,300	90,700	248,900	13.4	9.4	11.6
	June	154,400	89,600	244,000	13.0	9.3	11.4
	July	151,100	90,700	241,800	12.8	9.4	11.3
	August	148,300	90,600	238,900	12.5	9.4	11.1
	September	145,000	88,900	233,900	12.3	9.2	10.9
	October	142,400	85,300	227,700	12.1	8.9	10.6
	November	140,400	82,200	222,600	11.9	8.5	10.4
	December	139,000	80,500	219,600	11.8	8.4	10.2

2015	January	138,200	79,700	218,000	11.7	8.3	10.1
	February	136,200	78,700	214,900	11.5	8.2	10.0
	March	133,800	77,000	210,800	11.3	8.0	9.8
	April	130,900	78,700	209,600	11.1	8.2	9.8
	May	129,000	79,600	208,600	10.9	8.3	9.7
	June	127,900	80,200	208,100	10.8	8.3	9.7

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Open in Excel: Monthly Unemployment June 2015 Table 1a (XLS 47KB)

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Show Table 1b Seasonally adjusted monthly unemployment and monthly unemployment rate by sex - persons aged 15-24 years

Table 1b Seasonally adjusted monthly unemployment by sex - persons aged 15-24 years

		Number of persons			Unemployment rate (%)
		Males	Females	All Persons	Males	Females	All Persons
2013	June	35,100	23,800	58,900	30.9	23.1	27.2
	July	34,700	23,000	57,600	30.5	22.6	26.8
	August	33,700	22,200	55,800	29.8	22.0	26.1
	September	32,400	22,700	55,100	28.9	23.1	26.2
	October	30,600	23,000	53,600	27.8	23.9	25.9
	November	29,400	22,900	52,200	27.0	24.1	25.7
	December	29,400	22,700	52,100	27.2	24.2	25.8

2014	January	30,200	22,100	52,300	28.0	23.7	26.0
	February	30,600	21,700	52,300	28.4	23.4	26.1
	March	29,900	21,600	51,600	28.0	23.5	25.9
	April	28,700	21,200	49,900	27.2	23.6	25.6
	May	28,000	20,500	48,400	26.8	22.6	24.8
	June	27,100	19,600	46,700	26.3	21.6	24.1
	July	26,900	19,200	46,100	26.2	20.9	23.7
	August	26,900	18,200	45,100	26.1	19.5	23.0
	September	26,500	17,400	43,900	25.8	19.0	22.6
	October	26,400	15,900	42,200	25.5	17.7	21.9
	November	26,400	15,300	41,700	25.4	17.3	21.7
	December	26,500	15,500	42,000	25.3	17.7	21.9

2015	January	26,900	16,400	43,300	25.5	18.8	22.5
	February	26,500	16,100	42,600	25.1	18.8	22.3
	March	25,200	14,800	40,000	24.2	17.6	21.3
	April	23,800	14,300	38,100	23.2	17.5	20.7
	May	22,700	14,300	37,000	22.4	17.2	20.0
	June	22,000	14,600	36,600	21.9	17.3	19.8

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Open in Excel: Monthly Unemployment June 2015 Table 1b (XLS 48KB)

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Show Table 1c Seasonally adjusted monthly unemployment and unemployment rate by sex - persons aged 25-74 years

Table 1c Seasonally adjusted monthly unemployment by sex - persons aged 25-74 years

		Number of persons			Unemployment rate (%)
		Males	Females	All Persons	Males	Females	All Persons
2013	June	149,000	82,500	231,500	13.8	9.5	11.9
	July	146,200	76,700	222,900	13.6	8.9	11.5
	August	142,900	74,700	217,600	13.3	8.6	11.2
	September	139,900	74,800	214,800	13.0	8.6	11.0
	October	136,300	76,400	212,700	12.6	8.8	10.9
	November	134,200	77,500	211,700	12.4	8.9	10.8
	December	133,500	77,200	210,700	12.3	8.9	10.8

2014	January	133,900	76,700	210,500	12.4	8.8	10.8
	February	133,800	75,400	209,200	12.4	8.6	10.7
	March	133,200	74,300	207,500	12.3	8.5	10.6
	April	132,100	71,000	203,100	12.2	8.2	10.4
	May	130,300	70,200	200,500	12.1	8.1	10.3
	June	127,300	70,000	197,300	11.8	8.0	10.1
	July	124,200	71,500	195,600	11.5	8.2	10.0
	August	121,400	72,400	193,800	11.2	8.3	9.9
	September	118,500	71,500	190,000	11.0	8.2	9.7
	October	116,000	69,500	185,500	10.8	7.9	9.5
	November	114,000	66,900	180,900	10.6	7.6	9.3
	December	112,500	65,000	177,600	10.4	7.4	9.1

2015	January	111,300	63,300	174,700	10.3	7.2	8.9
	February	109,700	62,600	172,400	10.2	7.1	8.8
	March	108,600	62,200	170,700	10.1	7.1	8.7
	April	107,100	64,500	171,600	9.9	7.3	8.8
	May	106,300	65,300	171,600	9.8	7.4	8.7
	June	105,800	65,600	171,500	9.8	7.4	8.7

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Open in Excel: Monthly Unemployment June 2014 Table 1c (XLS 48KB)

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Background Notes

Purpose

The purpose of this release is to provide a detailed series of monthly unemployment estimates. The release contains both monthly unemployment rates and monthly unemployment volumes. These outputs now replace the seasonally adjusted Standardised Unemployment Rate (SUR) as the definitive measure of monthly unemployment.

Calculation of Monthly Estimates:

The Quarterly National Household Survey (QNHS) provides benchmark estimates of employment and unemployment for each quarter since the beginning of 1998. These quarterly benchmark estimates are then used to compile monthly data using the Proportional Denton method. The main characteristic of this method is that the monthly Live Register series is used as an indicator to disaggregate the quarterly QNHS unemployment series into a monthly series in such a way as to minimise the differences between two consecutive months. It also ensures that the average of three months in a particular calendar quarter is equal to the corresponding QNHS estimate.

For months where the quarterly unemployment data is not yet available, the ratio of the QNHS monthly estimate to the Live Register monthly estimate (i.e. the benchmark to indicator ratio) is forecast forward in order to extrapolate a monthly QNHS estimate. The monthly series is revised each quarter when the latest quarterly data becomes available. This approach adheres to agreed international practice.

Seasonal Adjustment:

To correct for typical seasonal patterns, the data series included have been concurrently seasonally adjusted. This seasonal adjustment is completed by applying the X-12-ARIMA model, developed by the U.S. Census Bureau In the case of these monthly unemployment estimates, seasonal adjustment is conducted using the indirect approach, where each individual series is independently adjusted. To preserve consistency between the individual and aggregate series, the series for gender, age group and total monthly unemployed are then created from these component series. The series for monthly unemployment rates are likewise created from these component series.

Additional Background Information:

Further information regarding the QNHS and Live Register series are available from each respective release.

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Monthly Unemployment

June 2015

Monthly unemployment rate of 9.7% in June 2015

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