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For more information on this release:
E-mail: labour@cso.ie Martina O'Callaghan +353 21 453 5491 Edel Flannery +353 21 453 5623
For general information on CSO statistics:
information@cso.ie (+353) 21 453 5000 Visit StatCentral.ie, the portal to Ireland's official statistics On-line ISSN 2009-8456
CSO statistical release, 30 June 2015, 11am

Monthly Unemployment

June 2015

 Seasonally adjusted number of persons unemployed Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (%)
June 2014244,000 11.4
May 2015208,600 9.7
June 2015208,100 9.7
   Percentage Points
Change in month- 500  0.0
Change in year- 35,900 - 1.7

Monthly unemployment rate of 9.7% in June 2015

Monthly Unemployment Rate
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The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for June 2015 was 9.7%, unchanged from the revised May 2015 rate and down from 11.4% in June 2014. The seasonally adjusted number of persons unemployed was 208,100 in June 2015, a decrease of 500 when compared to May 2015 or a decrease of 35,900 when compared to June 2014.

Summary points for June

  • In June 2015 the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 10.8% for males, compared to 10.9% in May 2015 and 13.0% in June 2014.
  • The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for females in June 2015 was 8.3%, unchanged from May 2015 and down from 9.3% in June 2014.
  • The number of males unemployed in June 2015 was 127,900. This represents a decrease of 1,100 when compared to May 2015. In June 2015 the number of females unemployed was 80,200, an increase of 600 from May 2015.
  • The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for persons aged 15-24 years (youth unemployment rate) was 19.8% in June 2015. This compares to 20.0% in May 2015.

 

 

 

The data in this release are subject to revision, caused by updates to the seasonally adjusted series whenever new monthly data are added. In addition it should be noted that larger revisions can occur when the most recent Quarterly National Household Survey (QNHS) data are included in the calculation process. Revised figures will be produced upon the publication of each new set of benckmark figures from the QNHS and these revisions will be included in the QNHS release.

 

Table 1a Seasonally adjusted monthly unemployment by sex - All persons aged 15-74 years 
          
   Number of persons Unemployment rate (%)
   MalesFemalesAll Persons MalesFemalesAll Persons
2013June184,000106,300290,400 15.511.013.4  
 July180,80099,700280,500 15.210.313.0  
 August176,50096,900273,500 14.810.012.7  
 September172,30097,600269,900 14.510.112.5  
 October166,90099,400266,300 14.010.312.3  
 November163,600100,400263,900 13.710.412.2                         
 December162,800100,000262,800 13.710.312.2                         
                                  
2014January164,10098,700262,800 13.810.212.2                         
 February164,50097,000261,500 13.910.112.2                            
 March163,20095,900259,100 13.89.912.0                            
 April160,70092,200253,000 13.69.611.8                            
 May158,30090,700248,900 13.49.411.6                            
 June154,40089,600244,000 13.09.311.4                            
 July151,10090,700241,800 12.89.411.3                            
 August148,30090,600238,900 12.59.411.1                            
 September145,00088,900233,900 12.39.210.9                            
 October142,40085,300227,700 12.18.910.6                            
 November140,40082,200222,600 11.98.510.4                             
 December139,00080,500219,600 11.88.410.2                             
                                      
2015January138,20079,700218,000 11.78.310.1                             
 February136,20078,700214,900 11.58.210.0                             
 March133,80077,000210,800 11.38.09.8                             
 April130,90078,700209,600 11.18.29.8                             
 May129,00079,600208,600 10.98.39.7                             
 June127,90080,200208,100 10.88.39.7                             
Table 1b Seasonally adjusted monthly unemployment by sex - persons aged 15-24 years 
          
   Number of persons Unemployment rate (%)
   MalesFemalesAll Persons MalesFemalesAll Persons
2013June35,10023,80058,900 30.923.127.2  
 July34,70023,00057,600 30.522.626.8  
 August33,70022,20055,800 29.822.026.1  
 September32,40022,70055,100 28.923.126.2  
 October30,60023,00053,600 27.823.925.9  
 November29,40022,90052,200 27.024.125.7                         
 December29,40022,70052,100 27.224.225.8                         
                                  
2014January30,20022,10052,300 28.023.726.0                         
 February30,60021,70052,300 28.423.426.1                            
 March29,90021,60051,600 28.023.525.9                            
 April28,70021,20049,900 27.223.625.6                            
 May28,00020,50048,400 26.822.624.8                            
 June27,10019,60046,700 26.321.624.1                            
 July26,90019,20046,100 26.220.923.7                            
 August26,90018,20045,100 26.119.523.0                            
 September26,50017,40043,900 25.819.022.6                            
 October26,40015,90042,200 25.517.721.9                            
 November26,40015,30041,700 25.417.321.7                             
 December26,50015,50042,000 25.317.721.9                             
                                      
2015January26,90016,40043,300 25.518.822.5                             
 February26,50016,10042,600 25.118.822.3                             
 March25,20014,80040,000 24.217.621.3                             
 April23,80014,30038,100 23.217.520.7                             
 May22,70014,30037,000 22.417.220.0                             
 June22,00014,60036,600 21.917.319.8                             
Table 1c Seasonally adjusted monthly unemployment by sex - persons aged 25-74 years 
          
   Number of persons Unemployment rate (%)
   MalesFemalesAll Persons MalesFemalesAll Persons
2013June149,00082,500231,500 13.89.511.9  
 July146,20076,700222,900 13.68.911.5  
 August142,90074,700217,600 13.38.611.2  
 September139,90074,800214,800 13.08.611.0  
 October136,30076,400212,700 12.68.810.9  
 November134,20077,500211,700 12.48.910.8                         
 December133,50077,200210,700 12.38.910.8                         
                                  
2014January133,90076,700210,500 12.48.810.8                         
 February133,80075,400209,200 12.48.610.7                            
 March133,20074,300207,500 12.38.510.6                            
 April132,10071,000203,100 12.28.210.4                            
 May130,30070,200200,500 12.18.110.3                            
 June127,30070,000197,300 11.88.010.1                            
 July124,20071,500195,600 11.58.210.0                            
 August121,40072,400193,800 11.28.39.9                            
 September118,50071,500190,000 11.08.29.7                            
 October116,00069,500185,500 10.87.99.5                            
 November114,00066,900180,900 10.67.69.3                                  
 December112,50065,000177,600 10.47.49.1                                  
                                           
2015January111,30063,300174,700 10.37.28.9                                  
 February109,70062,600172,400 10.27.18.8                                  
 March108,60062,200170,700 10.17.18.7                                  
 April107,10064,500171,600 9.97.38.8                                  
 May106,30065,300171,600 9.87.48.7                                  
 June105,80065,600171,500 9.87.48.7                                  

Background Notes

Purpose

The purpose of this release is to provide a detailed series of monthly unemployment estimates. The release contains both monthly unemployment rates and monthly unemployment volumes. These outputs now replace the seasonally adjusted Standardised Unemployment Rate (SUR) as the definitive measure of monthly unemployment.

Calculation of Monthly Estimates:

The Quarterly National Household Survey (QNHS) provides benchmark estimates of employment and unemployment for each quarter since the beginning of 1998. These quarterly benchmark estimates are then used to compile monthly data using the Proportional Denton method. The main characteristic of this method is that the monthly Live Register series is used as an indicator to disaggregate the quarterly QNHS unemployment series into a monthly series in such a way as to minimise the differences between two consecutive months. It also ensures that the average of three months in a particular calendar quarter is equal to the corresponding QNHS estimate.

For months where the quarterly unemployment data is not yet available, the ratio of the QNHS monthly estimate to the Live Register monthly estimate (i.e. the benchmark to indicator ratio) is forecast forward in order to extrapolate a monthly QNHS estimate. The monthly series is revised each quarter when the latest quarterly data becomes available. This approach adheres to agreed international practice.

Seasonal Adjustment:

To correct for typical seasonal patterns, the data series included have been concurrently seasonally adjusted. This seasonal adjustment is completed by applying the X-12-ARIMA model, developed by the U.S. Census Bureau In the case of these monthly unemployment estimates, seasonal adjustment is conducted using the indirect approach, where each individual series is independently adjusted.  To preserve consistency between the individual and aggregate series, the series for gender, age group and total monthly unemployed are then created from these component series. The series for monthly unemployment rates are likewise created from these component series.

Additional Background Information:

Further information regarding the QNHS and Live Register series are available from each respective release.

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