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Ireland Excluding Dublin

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4.1  Ireland excluding Dublin index

Table 4.1 - Ireland excluding Dublin Residential Property Price Index July 2016
    
MonthPrice Index (Jan 2005=100)Monthly % ChangeAnnual % Change
May 201674.81.48.4
June 2016p76.21.98.9
July 2016p78.93.511.3
p: Provisional estimates

In the year to July, residential property prices outside Dublin increased by 11.3%. This compares with an increase of 8.9% in the year to June and an increase of 12.5% recorded in the year to July 2015.

Residential prices increased by 3.5% in the month of July. This compares with an increase of 1.9 % in June and an increase of 1.3% in July of last year.

Residential property prices are 40.4% higher than at the lowest point in May 2013. However, prices are 39.0% lower than at their highest level in 2007.

House prices outside Dublin have increased 41.7% from their low point in May 2013. House prices have increased 11.2% in the 12 months to July 2016 but remain 37.5% lower than their peak level.

Apartment prices outside of Dublin have consistently underperformed relative to house prices. Apartment prices have increased 13.0% in the year to July but remain 53.5% lower than their peak level (see Figure 4.1).

MonthAll DwellingsHousesApartments
Jan-05100100100
Feb-05100.1100.694.2
Mar-05100.5101.192.1
Apr-05101.2101.891.3
May-05101.9102.591.9
Jun-05103.310491.6
Jul-05105.1105.893.5
Aug-05106.7107.396.7
Sep-05107.410898.5
Oct-05109.3109.7102.4
Nov-05110110.4103.8
Dec-05111.4111.7106.4
Jan-06111.9112.2108
Feb-06111.8112.2108
Mar-06112.4112.8107.9
Apr-06113.9114.3108.5
May-06115.8116.3109.5
Jun-06117.4118110
Jul-06119.5120.1111.4
Aug-06121.6122.2112.7
Sep-06123.1123.7114.7
Oct-06123.8124.3116.6
Nov-06124.1124.7116.1
Dec-06125.5126.2116.4
Jan-07127.1127.8117.6
Feb-07127.7128.4117.9
Mar-07128.6129.4118.2
Apr-07129.2130119.1
May-07129.3130119.5
Jun-07128.7129.4120
Jul-07128.8129.7118.5
Aug-07128.8129.6118.5
Sep-07128.7129.5118.5
Oct-07128.1128.8119
Nov-07128.7129.3119.5
Dec-07128.4129.2118.4
Jan-08128.2129.2116
Feb-08126.9128.1113.7
Mar-08125.6126.5114.4
Apr-08124.1125112.5
May-08122.1123110.1
Jun-08120.9121.7110.3
Jul-08120.5121.3110.2
Aug-08119.5120.3108.9
Sep-08119.1119.8109.8
Oct-08117.2118106.8
Nov-08115.7116.6104.5
Dec-08113.5114.4102.8
Jan-09110.811296.9
Feb-09108.5109.794.6
Mar-09106.3107.294
Apr-09104.6105.889.4
May-09102.1103.485.8
Jun-09100.2101.682.4
Jul-0998.599.981
Aug-0996.698.177.8
Sep-0996.898.476.1
Oct-0996.297.875.2
Nov-0996.498.174.5
Dec-0995.597.174.2
Jan-1095.296.874.1
Feb-1093.795.176.7
Mar-1092.894.276.3
Apr-1092.593.877.9
May-1090.191.475.7
Jun-109091.277.5
Jul-109091.475.7
Aug-1088.990.175.4
Sep-1086.687.775.9
Oct-1084.785.973
Nov-108384.270.9
Dec-1081.882.970.4
Jan-1181.98370.9
Feb-1180.581.667.7
Mar-1178.279.366.7
Apr-1176.877.866.3
May-1175.676.565.1
Jun-1173.774.761.7
Jul-1172.773.958.1
Aug-1171.572.752.2
Sep-1170.471.746.9
Oct-1169.67141.5
Nov-1168.469.739.5
Dec-1166.567.840.2
Jan-1264.866.140.6
Feb-1263.564.742.5
Mar-1263.965.242.5
Apr-1262.263.542.4
May-1262.263.543.2
Jun-1261.963.242.4
Jul-1261.76343.2
Aug-126162.342.2
Sep-1261.262.543.2
Oct-1260.962.142.9
Nov-1260.461.643.2
Dec-1260.461.643.2
Jan-1359.360.444.4
Feb-135960.145.1
Mar-1357.658.744.2
Apr-1356.95843.2
May-1356.257.342.9
Jun-1357.158.241.9
Jul-1357.758.841.9
Aug-135859.242.3
Sep-1359.160.341
Oct-1359.260.440.9
Nov-135960.339.1
Dec-1359.961.240.1
Jan-1459.560.939.2
Feb-1459.360.740.6
Mar-1459.260.740.7
Apr-1460.161.641.3
May-1461.162.741.4
Jun-1461.963.542.2
Jul-146364.543.9
Aug-1464.46644.6
Sep-1465.667.244.4
Oct-146768.744.5
Nov-1467.569.345.2
Dec-1467.769.545.4
Jan-1567.869.745.7
Feb-1567.269.345.6
Mar-1567.369.348.1
Apr-1567.869.948.1
May-156971.248.6
Jun-157072.249
Jul-1570.97349.4
Aug-1571.97450.5
Sep-1572.87551.1
Oct-1573.87651.4
Nov-1573.575.751.6
Dec-1573.675.851.5
Jan-1673.775.951.1
Feb-1673.475.750.4
Mar-1673.575.851.1
Apr-1673.87651
May-1674.877.251.4
Jun-1676.278.553.9
Jul-1678.981.255.8

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4.2 House prices most buoyant in the South-West

There are significant differences in house price developments across Ireland’s regions. Generally, the further from Dublin, the slower the house price recovery. However, the South-West region is a notable exception.

House prices in the South-West fell less than any other region (including Dublin) during the economic crisis. Although house prices in the Mid-East initially led the recovery outside of Dublin, from November 2015 onwards the South-West has seen the fastest growth in house prices. Currently, house prices in the South-West have recovered almost to the same extent as in Dublin, recovering to 91.9% of their January 2005 base period value (compared to 92.9% in Dublin).

In contrast, house prices fell furthest and have recovered least in the Border (excluding Co. Louth) region. House prices in the Border region are presently just 65.2% of their January 2005 base (see Figure 4.2).

MonthDublinBorder (exc. Louth)MidlandWest Mid-East (inc. Louth)Mid-West (inc. South Tipperary)South-East (exc. South Tippeary)South-West
Jan 20108596.896.896.896.896.896.896.8
Feb 201082.794.795.196.593.595.595.997.2
Mar 201080.39592.89691.994.492.598
Apr 201079.69490.397.891.293.590.197.9
May 201079.290.290.295.689.992.986.896.4
June 201078.887.890.296.788.491.685.696.9
Jul 201078.59087.596.68791.983.996.8
Aug 201078.99087.395.686.591.181.395.1
Sep 201079.487.98694.485.390.680.191.7
Oct 201078.386.385.491.884.189.778.489.9
Nov 201076.785.781.48983.787.376.688.1
Dec 20107585.781.686.381.587.675.885.9
Jan 201173.68580.186.481.383.975.985.3
Feb 201172.283.775.985.380.682.574.883.5
Mar 201170.581.9738078.582.173.982.4
Apr 20117079.671.380.67781.370.181.1
May 201169.17769.179.375.678.668.880.9
June 201168.871.968.677.474.47868.678.7
Jul 201168.171.766.378.872.375.666.577.9
Aug 201166.667.364.177.170.874.464.778.4
Sep 201164.864.861.678.269.673.463.477.1
Oct 201163.762.960.976.767.374.262.777.3
Nov 201162.1646076.265.971.461.176
Dec 201160.964.758.574.16471.359.473.8
Jan 201259.664.559.570.361.970.757.872.9
Feb 201257.960.858.769.160.169.456.272.7
Mar 201258.462.160.668.859.270.256.371.6
Apr 20125860.660.867.357.768.65669.5
May 20125860.161.365.157.669.856.368.8
June 201258.458.558.565.457.768.956.368.4
Jul 201259.8585764.658.268.755.568.2
Aug 201260.556.256.662.858.868.656.167.1
Sep 201261.254.458.163.15968.955.367.5
Oct 201261.654.957.561.959.168.755.467.3
Nov 201261.853.657.361.559.968.354.866.9
Dec 201262.653.257.161.360.566.954.967.2
Jan 201361.950.755.759.359.866.354.267.7
Feb 201361.15055.958.660.566.253.367.1
Mar 201361.349.354.158.959.863.753.165.6
Apr 201362.349.355.158.759.161.45364.6
May 201362.949.455.557.458.860.352.563.4
June 201365.448.956.758.458.259.452.264.4
Jul 201368.250.557.15858.259.852.464.3
Aug 20137050.755.45858.561.251.664.5
Sep 201371.251.956.15860.161.951.565.1
Oct 201371.551.15658.560.861.952.665.4
Nov 201372.151.657.659.561.260.852.865.4
Dec 201373.350.658.959.562.561.752.766.9
Jan 201473.449.358.26063.263.552.966.9
Feb 201473.749.158.159.663.963.953.866.9
Mar 201474.64958.159.364.363.754.967.3
Apr 201476.750.758.96164.863.455.567.8
May 201478.852596265.864.556.668
June 201482.550.1606367.465.557.168.3
Jul 201486.25059.563.669.165.857.170
Aug 201487.351.659.86571.265.257.771.3
Sep 201488.853.159.966.572.965.958.772.4
Oct 201489.255.160.967.474.667.259.873.9
Nov 20148955.160.868.476.266.960.975
Dec 201487.955.561.267.577.467.261.776.2
Jan 20158855.461.966.778.968.762.376.3
Feb 20158855.562.365.979.168.16376.8
Mar 201588.656.162.865.279.269.162.877
Apr 201588.456.262.66579.569.463.777.7
May 201588.556.263.265.580.37164.178.6
June 201589.457.264.166.98171.764.578.9
Jul 201589.45865.467.381.872.265.379.3
Aug 201590.360.468.167.882.571.765.480.2
Sep 201590.561.17067.983.372.965.381.7
Oct 201591.462.471.268.684.172.565.983.5
Nov 201592.162.371.76983.973.16684.2
Dec 201591.662.973.969.8847466.284.2
Jan 201692.663.474.669.383.373.866.386
Feb 201691.561.773.770.283.774.666.485.5
Mar 201691.561.87469.283.574.96786.2
Apr 201691.562.57570.483.575.366.885.6
May 20169163.37670.883.574.466.687.6
June 201691.163.976.572.883.97667.188.5
Jul 201692.965.278.174.585.377.169.491.1

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4.3  County Cork has the most active market outside Dublin

The volume of transactions varies considerably from one county to another. County Cork shows a much higher level of market activity than any other county outside Dublin.

In 2015, there were a total of 4,314 stamp duty returns filed for dwellings purchased in County Cork. This was nearly twice the number of returns (2,188) filed for County Galway, the next most active county.  On the other end of the scale, Monaghan showed the least level of activity, with just 272 dwellings purchases reported in 2015.

County Cork also had the greatest number of new dwellings (287) purchased in 2015.The second most active county was Kildare, with 233 filings for new dwellings in 2015. Offaly had the least number in the year, with just six new dwelling purchases reported (see Figure 4.3).

X-axis labelExistingNew
Monaghan24626
Longford31264
Leitrim32471
Carlow35643
Offaly4616
Laois48635
Roscommon48735
Sligo50356
Kilkenny56423
Cavan52364
Westmeath79037
Clare89361
Tipperary95230
Louth94853
Mayo94686
Wicklow103555
Waterford106035
Donegal106080
Kerry1076124
Wexford126672
Meath129789
Limerick146158
Kildare1566233
Galway2059129
Cork4027287

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4.4 Most expensive near Dublin

The most expensive postal districts (as denoted by Eircode Routing Keys) to buy dwellings were generally very near Dublin. The most expensive postal district was A63 ‘Greystones’, (centred in Co. Wicklow) where the average dwelling price was €404,717, according to filings in the year to July 2016. The second most expensive was A98 ‘Bray’ (also largely located in Co. Wicklow), with an average sale price of €363,907 in the same period.

However, not all of the most expensive postal districts were close to Dublin. Third most expensive was P17 ‘Kinsale’ (Co. Cork), with an average sale price of €359,259 in the year to July 2016.

Conversely, the least expensive postal district was F45 ‘Castlerea’, (Co. Roscommon), with an average dwelling price of €72,350 in the year to July 2016. Second least expensive was F35 ‘Ballyhaunis’ (Co. Mayo), with an average sale price of €77,215 (see Table 4.2). 

Table 4.2 - Top and bottom 5 Average Prices by Eircode Routing Key in year to July 2016
      
RankTop 5 Bottom 5
Eircode Routing KeyAverage Price Eircode Routing KeyAverage price
1A63: Greystones€404,717 F45: Castlerea€72,350
2A98: Bray€363,907 F35: Ballyhaunis€77,215
3P17: Kinsale€359,259 H14: Belturbet€82,759
4A86: Dunboyne€352,825 N39: Longford€82,759
5W23: Celbridge€296,899 F56: Ballymote€84,615

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4.5 Largest price changes by postal district

Average dwelling prices are quite volatile in postal districts, sometimes changing rapidly depending on the mix of properties sold. The relative price of postal districts by average price are therefore subject to ongoing change.

P17 ‘Kinsale’ was the postal district showing the greatest upward movement in average price, comparing the year to July 2015 to the year to July 2016. The average price paid for a dwelling in P17 increased by 40.5% across the two 12 month periods.  Second to P17 was A86 ‘Dunboyne’ (Co. Meath), where average prices increased by 33.3% between the two periods (see Table 4.3A).

Table 4.3A - Top 5 fastest growing average prices by Eircode Routing Key
     
RankEircode Routing Key12 months to July 201512 months to July 2016% Change
1P17: Kinsale€255,714€359,25940.5%
2A86: Dunboyne€266,355€355,00033.3%
3X35: Dungarvan€130,714€166,44327.3%
4H12: Cavan€81,405€103,14126.7%
5V93: Killarney€142,623€178,87325.4%

 

The postal district where average prices decreased the most was E21 ‘Cahir’ (principally in Co. Tipperary), where the average price decreased 15.8% between the two consecutive 12 months periods.  The second largest fall in average prices was in Y34 ‘New Ross’ (Co. Wexford) where the average price deceased by 11.2% (see Table 4.3B).

Table 4.3B - Top 5 fastest falling average prices by Eircode routing Key
     
RankEircode Routing Key12 months to July 201512 months to July 2016% Change
1E21: Cahir€124,490€104,878-15.8%
2Y34: New Ross€119,277€105,917-11.2%
3R56: Curragh€232,584€208,989-10.1%
4P56: Charleville€108,333€102,381-5.5%
5V15: Kilrush€99,254€95,238-4.0%

 

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