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Headline Economic Results

Headline Economic Results

Increase of 0.2% in GDP and 0.6% in Modified Domestic Demand in Quarter 2

Online ISSN: 2009-5775
CSO statistical release, , 11am
Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2023 prices, Q2 20251
 Amount €mQuarterly % change
Gross Domestic Product153,4200.2
Gross National Product106,95715.7
Modified Final Domestic Demand70,8530.6
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2023, seasonally adjusted

Updated estimates for the second quarter of 2025 indicate that GDP rose by 0.2% in real terms in Q2 2025 compared to the previous quarter while GNP increased by 15.7%. Modified Domestic Demand, a broad measure of underlying domestic activity that covers personal, government and investment spending grew by 0.6% in Q2.

GDPGNPMDD
Q1 2023-1.657401699988890.2341862884373667.50002473409273
Q2 20230.56690432631054710.9359886560692-1.17506998143707
Q3 2023-2.56188541185628-3.34825163166784-1.23544002888023
Q4 2023-2.541609873553673.177808515404282.49262751026114
Q1 20241.73103951417877-3.167861453008650.34704157900749
Q2 20240.4459114237463485.75441928943787-0.221073446732423
Q3 20244.99990073282650.1766968571213171.09154934594924
Q4 20244.32916051653549-4.32880621707439-0.00353152135103008
Q1 20257.53285450055727-6.596466797982762.55034577977311
Q2 20250.21353285632295115.7003097667540.583993940833927

Get the data: NAQ03

Industry (excl. Construction)Information & CommunicationProfessional, Admin & Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels & RestaurantsPublic Admin, Education & HealthReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesConstructionArts, Entertainment & Other ServicesAgriculture, Forestry & Fishing
Q1 202553.397793333929.233682892714.956053653813.228324391312.3102913827.37881810756.62378126753.77442128961.39820800991.0495745648
Q2 202554.742762662529.752533276614.220783055913.273833089412.2919031067.59169625966.39791344924.00232185911.38029547471.0238778569

Get the data: NAQ02

The MNE dominated sectors of the economy expanded by 1.1% in the second quarter of 2025. The Industry (excluding Construction) sector expanded by 2.5%, while the Information & Communication sector grew by 1.8% in the quarter. Overall, the non-MNE sectors contracted by 0.1%. However, there was robust growth in the domestic facing Construction and Real Estate Activities sectors which increased by 6.0% and 2.9% respectively. More modest growth was seen in the Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants sector which grew by 0.3%. Notable declines were seen in Professional & Administrative Services which decreased by 4.9% and Financial & Insurance Activities which fell by 3.4%. Other sectors with quarter-on-quarter decreases included Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing (-2.4%), Arts & Entertainment (-1.3%) and Public Administration, Education & Health (-0.1%). (See Tables 2.5 and 6.3).

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
Q1 202338.375732304912.866325007331.25051560040.823717070950.452138504867.8406647428133.1777472953
Q2 202338.510140210813.039576130628.90777749313.536139969748.324605931267.0434894562133.9327377064
Q3 202338.03222180113.226340510227.37286726094.306194794547.386636856766.2152073507130.5015344374
Q4 202338.888580132914.042460595843.27712226570.621697137928.032400581867.8657058251127.184694553
Q1 202439.133668796913.551895705227.66934024621.091241368248.854699458768.1012280422129.3863118717
Q2 202439.485532673413.908154641110.99793898211.823186663262.772733940667.9506743101129.9632602171
Q3 202439.566865859714.069120047429.4335036261.842490871248.48480336968.6923894511136.4612942171
Q4 202440.204528672814.411727721825.35167319080.500576180262.3276660668.6899635647142.3689226867
Q1 202540.295489693714.228612103943.95210263-4.865489634861.755098260670.4417951516153.0933664867
Q2 202540.687158198614.590344612527.72463112671.677899436269.981852313570.8531709671153.420271125

Get the data: NAQ03NAQ04NAQ05

On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.5), Exports decreased by 4.0% in Q2 2025 compared with Q1 2025 while Imports decreased by 10.8% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter expanded by 13.3%. Capital Investment decreased by €9.7 billion during the quarter (a 24.8% decrease quarter-on-quarter) with the Capital Formation element decreasing by €16.2 billion (a 36.9% decrease quarter-on-quarter) reflecting lower levels of investment in Intangible Assets compared with the previous quarter. Personal Consumption Expenditure grew by 1.0% in Q2 2025 compared with the previous quarter, while Government Expenditure on Current Goods and Services rose by 2.5% quarter-on-quarter. These impacts when combined resulted in an overall increase in Real GDP in Q2 2025 of 0.2%. Final Domestic Demand fell by 15.7% in Q2 compared with the previous quarter, driven by the lower investment in Intangible Assets, while Modified Domestic Demand grew by 0.6% over the same period.

GDPNet Factor Income from Rest of WorldGNP
Q1 2023133.1777472953-42.145909369791.1546106
Q2 2023133.9327377064-32.7884909519101.1232684747
Q3 2023130.5015344374-32.755839099897.737406988
Q4 2023127.184694553-26.2478738778100.84331463
Q1 2024129.3863118717-31.737573733797.6487381379
Q2 2024129.9632602171-26.6954042559103.2678559612
Q3 2024136.4612942171-33.0109671999103.4503270171
Q4 2024142.3689226867-43.396759857198.9721628296
Q1 2025153.0933664867-60.649869517492.4434969693
Q2 2025153.420271125-46.4628587723106.9574123527

Get the data: NAQ03

Factor income outflows fell significantly by 23.4% in the quarter, a fall of €14.2 billion in money terms compared with the previous quarter, leading to an increase in GNP of 15.7%.

The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the Annual National Accounts. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published.