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Press Statement

Preasráiteas

19 May 2021

Impact of COVID-19 Income Supports on Employees, Q4 2020 - Insights from Real Time Administrative Sources, Series 2

Fall in income for recipients of COVID-19 income supports while earnings rose for non-recipient employees
  • Median weekly income (i.e. earnings plus COVID-19 income supports) of all employees increased by 4.6% in the year to Q4 2020 - without such supports employee earnings would have remained unchanged from Q4 2019
  • The median weekly income of recipient employees (those who received COVID-19 income supports) fell by 4.8% in the year to Q4 2020, compared with a rise of 7.1% for non-recipient employees
  • The median weekly income of male COVID-19 support recipients was more negatively impacted by the pandemic, with a drop of 7.9%, compared to a rise of 0.2% for females in the year to Q4 2020
  • Of the lowest earning (bottom 20%) employees, the income growth of support recipients in the year to Q4 2020 was approximately double that of employees who did not receive supports
  • The median income of males who received support from only the Pandemic Unemployment Payment (PUP) during the quarter fell by 18.6% in the year to Q4 2020, compared with an increase of 11.6% for female PUP only recipients
  • Employees in the Border region had the highest annual growth in median weekly income in all three recipient groups in the year to Q4 2020, while the Dublin region had the lowest growth in median income for recipients of both WSS and PUP and had the largest falls in income for PUP only

Go to release: Impact of COVID-19 Income Supports on Employees, Q4 2020 - Insights from Real Time Administrative Sources, Series 2

The Central Statistics Office (CSO) has today (19 May 2021) released Impact of COVID-19 Income Supports on Employees, Q4 2020. This CSO Frontier Output is the second instalment of the ‘Insights from Real Time Administrative Sources’ Series. The publication analysed the impact selected COVID-19 Income Support Schemes had on the earnings of Irish employees in 2020 in comparison to 2019 and is an example of how the CSO provides insights into Irish society by using datasets from administrative systems. This publication is categorised as a CSO Frontier Series Publication. Particular care must be taken when interpreting the statistics in this experimental analysis.

Commenting on the release, Brian Cahill, Statistician, said: 

"This publication presents analysis of the impact selected COVID-19 Income Support Schemes had on the income of employees in Ireland during 2020. Employee earnings data from the Revenue Commissioners were combined with data on COVID-19 income support schemes from Revenue and the Department of Social Protection under the auspices of the Statistics Act 1993 to provide the basis for this analysis.

This report examines the extent to which employees’ median weekly earnings and income were affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and the impact selected COVID-19 income support schemes had on the income of recipient employees.

Median weekly earnings of all employees combined, which excludes COVID-19 income support, in Q4 2020 would have been level with the same period the previous year. However, when COVID-19 income supports are included, median employee income actually increased by 4.6% in the period. 

Median weekly earnings of employees who did not receive COVID-19 income supports increased annually by about 5% in the first three quarters of 2020 and by 7.1% in Q4. Median weekly income (i.e. earnings plus COVID-19 income supports) of employees who did receive COVID-19 income supports rose in the year to Q1 2020, but fell in all other quarters in the year, by 12.7% in Q2, 10.5% in Q3 and 4.8% in Q4." 

Other main results include:

  • The proportion of employees who received the Pandemic Unemployment Payment (PUP) and/or the Wage Subsidy Scheme (WSS) in a quarter rose from 13.9% of employees in Q1 2020 to almost 40% in Q2 before falling back to 30.1% in Q3 and 25.2% in Q4.
  • There were annual increases in the median weekly income of employees aged under 25 in each quarter of 2020 for both those who received and did not receive COVID-19 income supports.
  • The lowest earners (bottom 20%) in 2019 had the largest annual income growth in each quarter in 2020 for both employees who received supports and those who did not.
  • All recipient groups of COVID-19 income supports had large falls in income in the year to Q2 2020. The scale of the fall in income reduced in Q3 and Q4 2020.
  • The median income of males who received support from only the WSS fell by just 0.7% in the year to Q4 2020, compared with a drop of 18.6% for those who received only the PUP and a rise of 3.4% for those who received both the PUP and WSS in the quarter.
  • For females, median earnings and COVID-19 income supports were higher in Q4 2020 for each category of support compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
  • Income increased in the year to Q4 2020 for all recipient groups who were in the lowest employee earnings quintile in Q4 2019, with a rise of 54.8% for those who received PUP and WSS during the quarter, 27.0% for PUP only recipients and 19.9% for WSS only recipients. For all other quintiles, there were falls in income for each of the recipient groups, with the largest falls in the higher quintiles.
  • In the year to Q2 2020, median weekly income for all employees (recipients and non-recipients) fell by 5.6%, but this decrease would have been 15.0% if no COVID-19 income supports had been available. In the year to Q4 2020, median weekly income rose by 4.6% for all employees but would have remained level with no supports. This difference illustrates the impact of COVID-19 income supports for employees in a hypothetical scenario where no job seekers benefit, or allowance was available.
  • Without COVID-19 income supports, the share of all employees earning less than €300 a week would have increased from 16.6% to 24.1% between Q4 2019 and Q4 2020. With supports, the share of all employees earning less than €300 a week actually dropped from 16.6% to 12.5%, a fall of 4.1 percentage points.
Editor's Note:

This publication entitled ‘Impact of selected COVID-19 Income Supports on Employees’ is the second instalment of the ‘Insights from Real Time Administrative Sources’ Series. This CSO Frontier Series analysis uses new methods and data sources to measure the impact selected COVID-19 Income Support Schemes had on the earnings of Irish employees in 2020 in comparison to 2019. The results presented in this publication are based on a number of data sources:

  • PAYE Modernisation (PMOD) payroll data
  • Temporary Wage Subsidy Scheme (TWSS) data
  • Employment Wage Subsidy Scheme (EWSS) data
  • Pandemic Unemployment Payment (PUP) data

The linkage and analysis were undertaken by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) for statistical purposes in line with the Statistics Act, 1993 and the CSO Data Protocol.

Before using personal administrative data for statistical purposes, the CSO removes all identifying personal information including the PPSN. All data sources are pseudonymised prior to linking. The Personal Public Service Number (PPSN) is a unique number that enables individuals to access social welfare benefits, personal taxation and other public services in Ireland. The CSO converts the PPSN to a Protected Identifier Key (PIK). The PIK is an encrypted and randomised number used by the CSO to enable linking of records across data sources and over time which is internal to the CSO. Using the PIK enables the CSO to link and analyse data for statistical purposes, while protecting the security and confidentiality of the individual data. All records in the datasets are anonymised and the results are in the form of statistical aggregates which do not identify any individuals.

Please Note: The data included in this publication are subject to revision as more information relating to employments and earnings for Q4 2020 are lodged by employers with the Revenue Commissioners and the data is subsequently made available to the CSO for statistical analysis purposes. 

Revisions since the December publication were made to all quarters from Q1 2019 to Q3 2020 to include updated data from Revenue and the Department of Social Protection (DSP). Refinements to the data matching and processing procedures have also necessitated slight revisions. Age groups statistics have been revised to illustrate age groups based upon employees’ age in 2019. The revisions do not substantially change the trends or interpretation of the data that was presented in December 2020.

Users should see the Background Notes for information on the methodology and definitions used in the analysis.

For further information contact:

Brian Cahill (+353) 87 6280807 (+353) 21 453 5173 or Brian King (+353) 87 2804543 (+353) 1 498 4324

or email brian.cahill@cso.ie

or email brian.king@cso.ie

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