A new exploratory set of Supply and Use tables at previous year prices for 2006 and 2007 have been published today by the Central Statistics Office (CSO). The CSO publishes Supply and Use tables in current prices annually. The first estimates of Supply and Use tables at previous year prices (PYP) are provided in this publication. The tables produced relate to the years 2006 (in 2005 prices) and to 2007 (in 2006 prices).
These tables are exploratory in nature and mark the beginning of a program which will see similar tables produced annually, in conjunction with the corresponding current price tables. One of the main benefits of tables at previous year prices is that they enable the “real” or “volume” annual growth in Gross Value Added (GVA) of individual sectors of the economy to be calculated. The methodology for compiling Supply and Use tables in PYP will be assessed on an ongoing basis in the light of experience and taking account of new data sources which may emerge in future years.
Supply and Use tables in current prices are produced within the National Accounts program to provide a framework in which the results of the different methods of compiling GDP can be compared. Their compilation provides feedback which ultimately leads to a balanced and more accurate estimate of GDP. Equally, Supply and Use tables in PYP are produced for essentially the same reason i.e. to estimate GDP in PYP. This, in turn, is carried out with a view to facilitating the production of more robust estimates of growth or volume change in GDP. It is the volume change in GDP (i.e. the change in GDP with price effects removed) which is of most interest for economic analysis. Volume changes in GDP and some of its components are currently compiled and published quarterly and annually in the National Accounts releases and publications of the CSO. However these volume estimates are of necessity less detailed than those prepared in this exercise1.
Estimates of annual volume changes for individual business sectors in the present exercise are essentially derived by comparing GVA for the particular business group in year T in PYP with GVA in year T-1 in current prices for the same business group. The availability of the current price Supply and Use tables enables gross outputs and intermediate inputs to be separately deflated (i.e. double deflation) – a technique not normally available in the more timely quarterly and annual National Accounts volume estimates. A summary of volume growths for the years 2005 to 2006 and for 2006 to 2007 is provided below.
“Business Services2” showed the greatest GVA growth in absolute terms between 2005 and 2006 at €1.983 billion followed by “Education and health3” at €1.262 billion and by the “Manufacturing sector4” at €827 million. The “Agriculture, forestry and fishery5” sector declined slightly by €87 million between 2005 and 2006
Further examination of the “Business services2" sector reveals that “Computer and related services6" showed the greatest increase in GVA (+€1.48bn) followed by “Renting services of machinery and equipment7" (+€567m). On the other hand the GVA for the “Research and development & Other business services sectors8" fell by €421 million.
In contrast to the 2005-2006 period, the “Manufacturing sector4” far outpaced any of the other sectors in the additional GVA it generated in 2007 compared with 2006 (+€6.66bn). “Financial intermediation9” increased by €1.605 billion and “Distribution services10" increased by €1.544 billion in 2007 compared with 2006. “Business services2” actually declined by €864 million between 2006 and 2007.
In further disaggregating the “Manufacturing sector4” it can be seen that “Electrical and Optical products11" generated the greatest additional GVA in 2007 (+€2.765bn) followed by “Chemical products12" (+€1.646bn) and the “Food, beverages and tobacco13" industries (+€809m). In fact none of the manufacturing sectors distinguished at this level declined in 2007 relative to 2006. All of them showed some increase in GVA.
The Central Statistics Office, Information Section, Skehard Road, Cork.
or
The Government Publications Sales Office, Sun Alliance House, Molesworth Street, Dublin 2.
Price: €12
Exploratory Supply and Use tables at previous year prices for the years 2006 and 2007 (A framework for measuring economic growth) is available on the CSO website:
Paddy McDonald (Senior Statistician) 01 498 4320.
LoCall 1890 313 414 ext 4320
Mark Manto (Statistician) 01 498 4204.
LoCall 1890 313 414 ext 4204
E-mail nat_acc@cso.ie
Central Statistics Office 25 October 2012
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1Using the 2-digit NACE 1.1 classification of economic activity |
8NACE 73 & 74 |
2NACE 70-74 & 90-95 |
9NACE 65-67 |
3NACE 80-85 |
10NACE 50-55 |
4NACE 15-37 |
11NACE 30-33 |
5NACE 1-5 |
12NACE 24 |
6NACE 72 |
13NACE 15-16 |
7NACE 71 |
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