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This publication is categorised as a CSO Frontier Series Output. Particular care must be taken when interpreting the statistics in this release as it may use new methods which are under development and/or data sources which may be incomplete, for example new administrative data sources.
The monthly employee index at 116.4 for males and 117.8 for females remained relatively unchanged in the month to January 2025.
The seasonally adjusted employee index rose by 2.1% in the 12 months to January 2025.
Taking age into account, the largest monthly increases were observed in the 15-19 years and 20-24 years age categories (+0.6%). The largest monthly fall was in the 65 years and over age group (-2.6%).
The largest monthly decreases by economic sector were in Professional, Scientific & Technical Activities (-3.0%) and Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing (-2.4%). The largest monthly rise was in the Services sector (+7.5%).
The Monthly Estimates of Payroll Employees using Administrative Data release is a very short time series (just over five years of monthly data) and is thus at the lower limit of acceptable length for the seasonal adjustment process. In the short term, care should be taken in interpreting the seasonally adjusted output. Users should be aware that there is increased uncertainty around the seasonally adjusted figures during the COVID-19 period due to the volatility of the data. Non-seasonally adjusted data are available on PxStat. The seasonal models were revised in June 2024. The models are being updated as part of the annual review process in accordance with the CSO and ESS (European Statistical System/Eurostat) guidelines.
The Monthly Estimates of Payroll Employees using Administrative Data is published as a 'Frontier' release, therefore the methodology and data are subject to revision. As more data become available, due to later transmissions from employers, the series may change from month to month. As this particularly affects the most recent months, figures should be considered provisional for the two most recent months for the non-seasonally adjusted data. Estimates for 2023 were revised in June 2024 as part of an annual review with the latest data available. All figures for monthly percentage change and annual percentage change are calculated prior to the input data being rounded.
It is anticipated that an update including new weighting will be introduced in forthcoming months. This will result in a break in series.
Number of Employees and Employee Index, Monthly and Annual Changes, Seasonally Adjusted | ||||
Period | Number of Employees | Employee Index (Base year: 2019=100) | Monthly % Change | Annual % Change |
January 2024 | 2,470,100 | 114.7 | 0.4 | 2.3 |
December 2024 | 2,521,900 | 117.1 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
January 2025 | 2,523,100 | 117.1 | 0.0 | 2.1 |
The seasonally adjusted index increased by 2.1% in January 2025 when compared with January 2024. March 2021 was the last month to show an annual decrease in the employee index (-11.1%).
On an annual basis, the index for both males and females increased by 2.2%. On a monthly basis, no percentage changes were recorded in either the male or female indices to January 2025.
With the exception of the 15-19 years age category (-1.7%), all other age groups saw annual increases in the employee index. The age groups with the largest annual rise in employees were 65 years and over (+8.1%), followed by those aged 60-64 years (+5.7%).
Information & Communication Activities (-1.6%), Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing (-0.4%), and Accommodation & Food Services Activities (-0.4%) were the only sectors to show an annual decrease in the employee index when compared with January 2024. All other NACE sectors observed increases in the annual index, with the largest changes in Services (+7.4%), Arts, Entertainment, Recreation & Other Services Activities (+5.4%), and Construction (+4.2%).
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Statistician's Comment
The Central Statistics Office (CSO) has today (18 March 2025) published Monthly Estimates of Payroll Employees using Administrative Data, January 2025.
Commenting on the release, Aoife McHugh, Statistician in the Labour Market & Earnings Division, said: “Nine NACE sectors saw a monthly increase in the numbers employed in January 2025, while six sectors showed a decrease. The sector that observed the largest monthly rise was in Services (+7.5%). It should be noted that Services is the smallest sector, with 4,800 employees in January 2025. The largest monthly decreases by economic sector were in Professional, Scientific & Technical Activities (-3.0%) and Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing (-2.4%).
The 15-19 years and 20-24 years age categories saw the largest monthly rise in employees in January 2025 (+0.6%).
On an annual basis, the seasonally adjusted index went up by 2.1% from January 2024 to January 2025.”
Data from this release supplements data published in the Labour Force Survey (LFS) quarterly series, which is the official measure of both employment and unemployment for the State. Monthly Estimates of Payroll Employees using Administrative Data are of relevance to LFS Seasonally Adjusted Estimates and Employment outputs.