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Headline Economic Results

Headline Economic Results

Annual rise of 12.3% in Real GDP in 2025, Modified Domestic Demand (MDD) grew by 4.9%

Online ISSN: 2009-5775
CSO statistical release, , 11am
Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2025 prices, Q4 20251
 Amount €mAnnual % change
GDP604,79112.3
GNP413,2572.4
MFDD286,9854.9
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2023, seasonally adjusted

Provisional estimates indicate that GDP in volume terms rose by 12.3% for the year 2025. GNP showed an increase of 2.4% in 2025 over 2024, while the deglobalised measure Modified Domestic Demand (MDD) increased by 4.9% over the year.

GDPGNPMDD
20194.972880076869224.025688472729642.14645858764619
20207.153695088746773.91736390012889-5.62169492997993
202116.258188075331313.74177258718798.07649322806885
20227.511138850218191.268294616923668.38518566124411
2023-2.536374088019386.713666416110066.15706111214052
20242.599467277742163.303990044294221.76391438104679
202512.33764335049462.377016295887784.87652012073152

Get the data: NAQ03

X-axis labelIndustry (excl. Construction)Information & CommunicationProfessional, Admin & Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels & RestaurantsPublic Admin, Education & HealthReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesConstructionArts, Entertainment & Other ServicesAgriculture, Forestry & Fishing
2025211.814320921119.817929721358.033587385153.260999307248.895922752430.499411539227.728901192514.99615738054.61038731565.6170576899
2024164.0159162431107.476090021960.459795401852.161947161348.374564718729.067727439426.889456809813.66907894944.50068614935.7086542146

Get the data: NAQ02

Value added for the Domestic sectors expanded by 0.9%, Multinational-dominated sectors grew by 25.1% in 2025

Value added for the MNE dominated Industry (excluding Construction) sector expanded by 29.1% in real terms in the year, while Information & Communication expanded by 11.5%, see Table 2.3. Of the domestic focussed economic sectors, Construction increased by 9.7%, Real Estate activities grew by 4.9% year-on-year while the Financial & Insurance sector recorded an increase of 3.1%. The Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing sector posted an increase of 2.4%, the Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants sector expanded by 2.1% in the year while Public Administration, Education & Health recorded an increase of 1.1%. Other sectors posted declines over the period: Professional Admin and Support Services contracted by 4.0% year-on-year with the Arts & Entertainment sector declining by 1.6%.

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
2019134.037519124941.5657337795223.28591290981.66774290411.9013823222229.1210397101401.9834127979
2020121.518128266446.3649772813186.5126124134.742496284981.1760257589216.2405538372430.7400804568
2021132.359840701649.4391325069112.09317071044.519105636205.2200428411233.7052075242500.7706128533
2022146.604525893850.6834059216115.20201867528.8952575035216.3442765265253.3018230751538.3841889058
2023153.926175144253.2171452634130.5959130739.287748973175.275667782268.89777112524.7287518444
2024158.459395544456.048382663593.42102947785.2574950832222.1179256239273.6408975751538.3689040455
2025163.063513398258.3628947896133.17750810234.8120398871244.9768549688286.9850510039604.7909393366

Get the data: NAQ03, NAQ04NAQ05

Modified Domestic Demand increased by 4.9% in 2025 

On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.3), Personal Consumption Expenditure increased by 2.9% while Capital Investment grew by €39.3 billion (+39.8%) during 2025 compared with the previous year. Modified Gross Domestic Fixed Capital Formation, which excludes globalisation effects on investment, increased 10.9% in the year. Government expenditure increased by 4.1% over the same period. Final Domestic Demand increased by 15.2% in 2025 compared with 2024 while Modified Domestic Demand increased by 4.9% over the year.

Exports grew by 9.7% during the year while Imports rose by 9.5% compared with 2024. Overall net exports for the year increased by €22.9 billion (+10.3%) which when combined with the 15.2% increase in domestic demand resulted in an overall expansion in real GDP in 2025 of 12.3%. Factor income outflows were 42.2% higher in 2025 (€56.8 billion higher) compared with 2024 leading to an increase in real GNP of 2.4%.

Foreign-owned MNE-dominatedOther
20196.658370134605224.25526631464801
202024.3353845222592-5.53836280262703
202125.36123943441218.03420736384459
202213.50740309511613.76082620189822
2023-11.9349616633439.00458578173644
20241.517278670734463.60792769837166
202525.05661114826470.943994461257058

Get the data: NAQ03

Column120252024
Public Admin, Education and Health41.457116440.540496887
Distribution, Transport, Hotels and Restaurants25.45282614826.505054786
Professional, Admin and Support Services22.60190538622.313599384
Industry (excl. Construction)19.80537852119.144330594
Information and Communication13.87582676914.230617482
Financial and Insurance Activities11.70767759411.099080354
Construction7.191418617.01427176
Arts, Entertainment and Other Services2.8157477222.835530521
Real Estate Activities1.7840708141.646411842
Agriculture Forestry and Fishing1.4115660561.3627005

Compensation of Employees (CoE) at constant market prices increased by 1.0% in 2025 compared to 2024. Most sectors exhibited growth. Some of the largest increases were seen in Real Estate activities (8.4%), Financial & Insurance (5.5%) and Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing (3.6%).

Quarter 4 2025 Analysis

Decrease of 3.8% in GDP in Quarter 4, Modified Domestic Demand grew by 1.0%

Table 1.2 GDP and GNP at constant 2023 prices, Q4 20251
 Amount €mQuarterly % change
Gross Domestic Product146,732-3.8
Gross National Product109,6633.5
Modified Final Domestic Demand73,2241.0
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2023, seasonally adjusted

Estimates for the fourth quarter of 2025 indicate that there was a decrease of 3.8% in GDP in real terms in Q4 2025 compared to the previous quarter while GNP rose by 3.5%. Modified Domestic Demand, a broad measure of underlying domestic activity that covers personal, government and investment spending grew by 1.0% in Q4.

GDPGNPMDD
Q1 2023-1.66058437714126-1.033903903119097.12984586328453
Q2 20230.12243443244932510.0399655195088-0.980937903584378
Q3 2023-1.85986354337164-3.10820233793871-0.850501074874976
Q4 2023-2.868188978726235.158452460760392.1869622653454
Q1 20241.77659319460346-4.387914411350360.231492262023836
Q2 2024-0.2510536988963974.37670090064346-0.135311899970303
Q3 20246.245949791982871.009586352459981.28001410288696
Q4 20243.7779930919964-2.26692881914797-0.175720852182337
Q1 20257.6694462622996-8.008565024835862.57596572987173
Q2 2025-0.5533345503285113.72635034161480.335767976692591
Q3 20250.01828898195996850.4700052078029592.54338696320702
Q4 2025-3.83108173528213.528715113394141.00162876799845

Get the data: NAQ03

X-axis labelIndustry (excl. Construction)Information & CommunicationProfessional, Admin & Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels & RestaurantsPublic Admin, Education & HealthReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesConstructionArts, Entertainment & Other ServicesAgriculture, Forestry & Fishing
Q3 202553.508307828129.77591715514.341472698413.115831420512.17058854677.65740864927.12833009373.72830717641.42137825381.1665762728
Q4 202551.557334696331.11108221114.414386376513.609031236212.18303396527.80231508427.38438470453.61738659821.40722144451.2119049417

Get the data: NAQ02

The MNE dominated sectors of the economy contracted by 2.6% overall in the fourth quarter of 2025. The MNE dominated Industry (excluding Construction) sector contracted by 3.6% in Q4 compared with the previous quarter, while the Information & Communication sector expanded by 4.5% in the quarter. The domestically facing Financial & Insurance sector posted an increase of 3.6% in Q4 2025, Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants sector increased by 3.8% quarter-on-quarter while the Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing sector increased by 3.9%. Other sectors which posted increases were Real Estate activities (+1.9%), Professional Admin and Support Services (+0.5%) and Public Administration, Education & Health (+0.1%). Contractions were seen in Construction (-3.0%) and the Arts & Entertainment sector (-1.0%) (See Tables 2.5 and 6.3).

Net ExportsValue of Physical Changes in StocksGross Fixed Capital FormationGovernment ExpenditurePersonal Consumption ExpenditureModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
Q1 202351.02337510780.823717070930.994542954912.833300987738.391254217167.6609212953133.3561824347
Q2 202347.7768612273.536139969728.915952079413.05706977838.47889429966.9972096724133.5194563198
Q3 202348.2664477854.306194794527.543378481713.22845744238.037938967366.427397684131.0361766284
Q4 202327.60858942510.621697137943.356307594714.065148932438.902984996667.8801398052127.2778114522
Q1 202449.38515338781.091241368227.523912729413.487522754339.14687211668.0372770763129.5390203887
Q2 202461.61013113721.823186663211.052422846513.95983055639.440412164967.945214544129.2138078865
Q3 202449.96729945871.842490871229.500964463914.052814512539.587669964568.8149228724137.2844374514
Q4 202461.75536125080.500576180225.434148905114.44427373840.222891063868.6940007035142.4710340147
Q1 202562.3932208767-4.864146095843.788912466714.253968438540.311710791270.4635346201153.3977734078
Q2 202569.05858045741.308442200227.812789608114.524554082940.682075631270.7001286046152.5489705281
Q3 202559.56030566257.003577830231.534666426914.741473752740.827720252872.4983064585152.5768701818
Q4 202554.1920737481.364165952230.095829059814.789230837441.196644213973.2244703523146.731525576

Get the data: NAQ03NAQ04NAQ05

On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.5), Exports decreased by 3.4% in Q4 2025 compared with Q3 2025 while Imports fell by 1.3% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter fell by 9.0% in Q4 compared with Q3 2025 or €5.4 billion lower in money terms quarter-on-quarter. Capital Investment contracted by €7.1 billion during the quarter (a 18.4% decrease quarter-on-quarter) with the Capital Formation element falling by 4.6% reflecting lower levels of investment in Intangible Assets. Personal Consumption Expenditure grew by 0.9% in Q4 2025 compared with the previous quarter, while Government Expenditure on Current Goods and Services increased by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter. These impacts when combined resulted in an overall decrease in Real GDP in Q4 2025 of 3.8%. Final Domestic Demand fell by 1.2% in Q4 compared with Q3, driven by the lower investment in Intangible Assets, while Modified Domestic Demand grew by 1.0% over the same period.

GDPNet Factor Income from Rest of WorldGNP
Q1 2023133.3561824347-42.243772120991.2331532484
Q2 2023133.5194563198-33.1125004117100.3929303769
Q3 2023131.0361766284-33.768584164597.2725149678
Q4 2023127.2778114522-24.8759001349102.2902714098
Q1 2024129.5390203887-31.737158539597.8018618492
Q2 2024129.2138078865-27.1314510689102.0823568176
Q3 2024137.2844374514-34.171471091103.1129663603
Q4 2024142.4710340147-41.6955652051100.7754688096
Q1 2025153.3977734078-60.692973546892.7047998609
Q2 2025152.5489705281-47.1191850547105.4297854733
Q3 2025152.5768701818-46.6515592261105.9253109556
Q4 2025146.731525576-37.0684121638109.6631134122

Get the data: NAQ03

Factor income outflows fell significantly by 20.5% in the quarter, a fall of €9.6 billion in money terms compared with the previous quarter, leading to an increase in GNP of 3.5% for the fourth quarter compared with the previous quarter.

The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the Annual National Accounts. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published.