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Headline Economic Results

Headline Economic Results

Annual rise of 1.2% in Real GDP in 2024, Modified Domestic Demand (MDD) grew by 2.7%

Online ISSN: 2009-5775
CSO statistical release, , 11am
Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2022 prices, 20241
 Amount €mAnnual % change
GDP498,1381.2
GNP377,1050.4
MFDD248,8722.7
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2022, seasonally adjusted

Provisional estimates indicate that GDP in volume terms rose by 1.2% for the year 2024. GNP showed an increase of 0.4% in 2024 over 2023, while the deglobalised measure Modified Domestic Demand (MDD) increased by 2.7% over the year.

GDPGNPMDD
20187.544341999123444.179220229576445.44658413424939
20195.040550184381144.114290505160392.25810028977087
20207.157898786060593.92203900244918-5.65547594722652
202116.255613519285913.74268497163397.96739853706365
20228.619503413053662.287073620129728.80253041938306
2023-5.530007300359195.535484335511992.63827264893017
20241.221361081542890.4256798864258342.69342973109175

Get the data: NAQ03

X-axis labelIndustry (excl. Construction)Information and CommunicationProfessional, Admin and Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels and RestaurantsPublic Admin, Education and HealthReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial and Insurance ActivitiesConstructionAgriculture Forestry and FishingArts, Entertainment and Other Services
2024148.3676112664101.074405349856.827067209548.173121924146.987459882929.066522246318.333056659811.69579102176.33323772375.9483679583
2023156.378256878593.20307597653.81425875247.501131490245.676106967128.350466534420.027520621211.9050468486.57172910076.1392198848

Get the data: NAQ02

Value added for the Domestic sectors expanded by 2.1%, Multinational-dominated sectors fell by 0.9% in 2024

Value added for the MNE dominated Information & Communication sector expanded by 8.4% in real terms in the year, while Industry (excluding Construction) contracted by 5.1%, see Table 2.3. The domestically focussed Professional Admin and Support Services sector grew by 5.6% year-on-year while the Public Administration, Education & Health sector recorded an increase of 2.9%. The Real Estate activities posted an increase of 2.5% in volume terms in 2024 compared to 2023, while Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants activities expanded by 1.4% in the year. Other sectors posted declines over the period: Financial & Insurance contracted by 8.5% year-on-year, Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing fell by 3.6%, with the Arts & Entertainment sector declining by 3.1%. The Construction sector declined by 1.8% year-on-year in 2024 compared with the previous year.

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
2018120.183124612237.3636563465105.23348558410.8406620695103.6159397388208.3423581854366.5058391055
2019123.615099174839.8083087461210.12909952931.6885642413.8497653706213.0469375793384.9797498543
2020111.910711431644.4499509245175.52172612234.399073382980.5061630175200.9981192682412.5362106957
2021121.817386041347.2666250978106.41557000285.0182215427198.9357258082217.0124404823479.5965027335
2022134.873172096948.6930470024110.30603475349.0849653296214.830555084236.1150265696520.9353396555
2023141.339463674950.781517432113.393007168915.7396531373167.3831786323242.3443847356492.1275773424
2024144.560647810552.958549740384.54791308990.9535743287212.998730064248.8717604457498.1382320436

Get the data: NAQ03, NAQ04NAQ05

Modified Domestic Demand increased by 2.7% in 2024

On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.3), Personal Consumption Expenditure, which accounts for 51% of Domestic Demand, increased by 2.3% while Capital Investment fell by €43.6 billion (-33.8%) during 2024 compared with the previous year. Government expenditure increased by 4.3% over the same period. Final Domestic Demand declined by 7.7% in 2024 compared with 2023 while Modified Domestic Demand increased by 2.7% over the year.

Exports grew by 11.7% during the year, outstripping the growth in Imports which rose by 6.5% compared with 2023. Overall net exports for the year increased by €45.6 billion (+27.3%) which when combined with the 7.7% fall in domestic demand (-€23.4 billion) resulted in an overall expansion in real GDP in 2024 of 1.2%. Factor income outflows were 3.8% higher in 2024 (€4.4 billion higher) compared with 2023 leading to a modest increase in real GNP of 0.4%.

Comparing the economy of 2024 with previous years, GDP has decreased by 4.4% compared with 2022, while GNP has increased by 6.0% compared with that reference year. Compared with 2021, GDP has increased by 3.9% and 8.4% in GNP terms. Compared with 2020, GDP has risen by 20.8% and 23.3% in GNP terms. Contrasting 2024 with 2019, a pre-COVID period, GDP has increased by 29.4% and 28.1% in GNP terms.

Foreign-owned MNE-dominatedOther
201816.00355026972434.65031734075272
20196.658370130094324.38913210988483
202024.3353845225233-5.23909803805257
202125.35998956820637.8256100180752
202214.984783466124.32495996372253
2023-16.24464844025676.1312860225138
2024-0.935576978765942.10890051954418

Get the data: NAQ03

20242023
Public Admin, Education and Health35.23975722333.795183304
Distribution, Transport, Hotels and Restaurants23.15383725121.794265854
Professional, Admin and Support Services17.36229375915.838002923
Industry (excl. Construction)16.47841256216.959375476
Information and Communication12.27101155712.069535443
Financial and Insurance Activities9.8607192119.775628834
Construction5.9054879246.005455992
Arts, Entertainment and Other Services2.5230602292.351085415
Agriculture Forestry and Fishing0.840225550.80006147
Real Estate Activities0.7990876681.038052005

Compensation of Employees (CoE) increased in real terms by 2.9% in 2024 compared to 2023. Most sectors exhibited growth. Some of the largest increases were seen in Professional & Administrative services (5.8%), Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing (5.2%) and Construction (3.0%).

Quarter 4 2024 Analysis

Increase of 3.6% in GDP in Quarter 4, Modified Domestic Demand fell by 1.1%.

Table 1.2 GDP and GNP at constant 2022 prices, Q4 20241
 Amount €mQuarterly % change
Gross Domestic Product130,1103.6
Gross National Product93,499-3.4
Modified Final Domestic Demand62,034-1.1
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2022, seasonally adjusted

Estimates for the fourth quarter of 2024 indicate that there was an increase of 3.6% in GDP in real terms in Q4 2024 compared to the previous quarter while GNP fell by 3.4%. Modified Domestic Demand, a broad measure of underlying domestic activity that covers personal, government and investment spending fell by 1.1% in Q4.

GDPGNPMDD
Q1 20223.96041914537233-7.13131375674101-0.301230200560898
Q2 20222.60358898973195.738426643989586.23923911227944
Q3 20222.63917593684277-5.31510706081788-0.419059687849799
Q4 2022-0.3888987384506056.03771148730601-1.46731716930858
Q1 2023-4.93462026296925-5.637300466010352.05222537768701
Q2 2023-1.04643215224810.52214669671660.274259344609762
Q3 2023-2.08866499965694-1.62115681574762-0.498064481087057
Q4 2023-2.227447827363984.939229264197321.98670842204074
Q1 20241.5950060408654-7.734503658494471.04585115623157
Q2 2024-0.352908243652954.38771043855943-0.245190564094555
Q3 20244.058558469119711.792543424663621.35050898411995
Q4 20243.61290410701911-3.42859493576247-1.07340474731958

Get the data: NAQ03

X-axis labelIndustry (excl. Construction)Information & CommunicationProfessional, Admin & Support ServicesDistribution, Transport, Hotels & RestaurantsPublic Admin, Education & HealthReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial & Insurance ActivitiesConstructionAgriculture, Forestry & FishingArts, Entertainment & Other Services
Q3 202439.145063907725.510434637114.835603213711.888707608511.74624798837.34805499544.59843773993.00590615441.58624446921.45197775
Q4 202439.603125721327.507037661614.047681362512.020132488511.81398791167.46272957884.30221731732.87070467621.55910543041.4576959132

Get the data: NAQ02

The MNE dominated sectors of the economy expanded by 3.8% overall in the fourth quarter of 2024. The MNE dominated Information & Communication sector grew by 7.8% in Q4 compared with the previous quarter, while the Industry (excluding Construction) sector increased by 1.2% in the quarter. The domestically facing Real Estate sector posted an increase of 1.6% in Q4 2024 while the Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants sector increased by 1.1% quarter-on-quarter. The Public Administration, Education & Health sector and Arts & Entertainment sector expanded modestly by 0.6% and 0.4% respectively over the period compared with Q3 2024. Finance & Insurance, Professional & Administrative services and the Construction sector contracted by 6.4%, 5.3% and 4.5% respectively. The Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing sector fell by 1.7% quarter-on-quarter. (See Tables 2.5 and 6.3).

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
Q1 202232.193411314311.907871692723.75654574981.572377613256.242749235356.7030930877126.180877971
Q2 202233.454766703212.147146759427.35330067533.935238353253.227686104460.2409346495129.466109417
Q3 202234.389340687712.235483052129.78507642643.279906863253.075099272259.9884891768132.8829478231
Q4 202234.612206822312.311315099229.6755151538-0.121692966853.158037910559.1082677755132.3661677154
Q1 202334.77036679212.332661430624.72181461842.629643865153.042052940460.3213026471125.834399982
Q2 202335.350260905512.509188541824.72101574995.410557155143.764634735260.4867394564124.517628362
Q3 202335.253504983712.798965712324.02731567064.038822425144.331451408760.1854764914121.91687224
Q4 202335.822233619313.008483020340.1950790923.205804145125.375528270461.3811864217119.2012375181
Q1 202435.954585827412.955049254123.62482014321.425024185147.480809545762.0231422696121.1025044573
Q2 202436.0280707513.22726207448.62937745210.668818974161.79707452361.8710673772120.6751237358
Q3 202435.964868799713.401655489127.24012732140.454804170146.060232022962.7066417007125.5727941903
Q4 202436.536641412913.38315087424.8987007834-2.049898539957.947927642462.0335456318130.1096188289

Get the data: NAQ03NAQ04NAQ05

On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.5), Exports increased by 5.0% in Q4 2024 compared with Q3 2024 while Imports fell by 1.9% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter expanded by 25.8% in Q4 compared with Q3 2024 or €11.9 billion higher in money terms quarter-on-quarter. Capital Investment fell by €4.8 billion during the quarter (a 17.5% decrease quarter-on-quarter) with the Capital Formation element falling by 8.6% reflecting lower levels of investment in Machinery & Equipment (including Aircraft Leasing) and new Dwellings compared with the previous quarter. Capital Investment accounted for 31.4% of total domestic demand in Q4 2024. Personal Consumption Expenditure grew by 1.6% in Q4 2024 compared with the previous quarter, while Government Expenditure on Current Goods and Services was broadly unchanged compared with the previous quarter, falling by a modest 0.1% quarter-on-quarter. These impacts when combined resulted in an overall increase in Real GDP in Q4 2024 of 3.6%. Final Domestic Demand fell by 2.3% in Q4 compared with Q3, driven by the lower investment in Machinery & Equipment (including Aircraft Leasing), while Modified Domestic Demand fell by 1.1% over the same period.

GDPNet Factor Income from Rest of WorldGNP
Q1 2022126.180877971-39.785117640186.3957603308
Q2 2022129.466109417-38.11259175691.3535176609
Q3 2022132.8829478231-46.384967429786.4979803934
Q4 2022132.3661677154-40.645688823591.7204788919
Q1 2023125.834399982-39.284480074186.5499199079
Q2 2023124.517628362-28.860798915595.6568294465
Q3 2023121.91687224-27.810790003794.1060822362
Q4 2023119.2012375181-20.447040128798.7541973894
Q1 2024121.1025044573-29.986454077891.1160503794
Q2 2024120.6751237358-25.561164902695.1139588331
Q3 2024125.5727941903-28.753876342196.8189178481
Q4 2024130.1096188289-36.61022949593.4993893339

Get the data: NAQ03

Factor income outflows rose significantly by 27.3% in the quarter, a rise of €7.9 billion in money terms compared with the previous quarter, leading to a fall in GNP of 3.4% for the fourth quarter compared with the previous quarter.

The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the Annual National Accounts. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published.