On 15 February 2024, the Consumer Price Index for January 2024 will be published using a new base period December 2023=100. Along with this rebasing of the index, the CSO will be updating the basket of goods and services that the Consumer Price Index is based on. More details of these changes will be given in the January 2024 release which will be published on 15 February 2024, and will be supported by a new Introduction to Series, December 2023=100, document as well as other supporting material. The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) will continue to be published to base 2015=100.
There will also be a change to the methodology for Insurance Connected with the Dwelling (COICOP 12.5.2) from January 2024 onwards. Further details of the changes will accompany the January 2024 release which will be published on 15 February 2024.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 4.6% between December 2022 and December 2023, up from an annual increase of 3.9% in the 12 months to November 2023.
This is the second consecutive month since September 2021 that the annual growth in the CPI has been below 5.0%.
Excluding energy and unprocessed food, the CPI rose by 5.8% in the 12 months to December 2023.
All divisions increased when compared with December 2022.
The divisions with the largest increases in the 12 months to December 2023 were Recreation & Culture (+10.3%) and Restaurants & Hotels (+6.6%).
Consumer prices rose by 0.5% in the month between November 2023 and December 2023.
The divisions with the largest growth in the month were Recreation & Culture (+2.5%) and Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (+1.4%).
Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (-0.5%) and Communications (-0.1%) were the only divisions to show a decrease when compared with November 2023.
Figure 1 shows the development of the CPI and HICP over recent months. It also shows the recent divergence of the CPI and HICP. This divergence is primarily due to the fact that the CPI includes mortgage interest whereas the HICP does not include mortgage interest.
CPI and HICP | |||||||
CPI | HICP | ||||||
% monthly change | % annual change | % monthly change | % annual change | ||||
Aug 2023 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 0.5 | 4.9 | |||
Sep 2023 | 0.1 | 6.4 | 0.1 | 5.0 | |||
Oct 2023 | 0.3 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 3.6 | |||
Nov 2023 | -0.8 | 3.9 | -0.9 | 2.5 | |||
Dec 2023 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 3.2 |
X-axis label | CPI | HICP |
---|---|---|
Dec 2022 | 8.2 | 8.2 |
Jan 2023 | 7.8 | 7.5 |
Feb 2023 | 8.5 | 8.1 |
Mar 2023 | 7.7 | 7 |
Apr 2023 | 7.2 | 6.3 |
May 2023 | 6.6 | 5.4 |
Jun 2023 | 6.1 | 4.8 |
Jul 2023 | 5.8 | 4.6 |
Aug 2023 | 6.3 | 4.9 |
Sep 2023 | 6.4 | 5 |
Oct 2023 | 5.1 | 3.6 |
Nov 2023 | 3.9 | 2.5 |
Dec 2023 | 4.6 | 3.2 |
The annual average rate of inflation in 2023 was +6.3%. This compares to an increase of 7.8% for 2022 and an increase of 2.4% for 2021.
The largest year-on-year price increase was recorded in February 2023 when prices rose by 8.5% compared with the previous February.
The largest price increases were recorded for Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (+15.6%), Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (+9.8%), Restaurants & Hotels (+7.8%) and Recreation & Culture (+7.8%). The only decreases were recorded for Education (-4.4%) and Transport (-0.3%).
During 2023, prices for energy products rose on average by 5.1% compared to an increase of 41.2% in 2022. The price of Goods increased on average by 3.2% compared to a rise of 9.0% in 2022. The price of Services (which includes mortgage interest) rose by 8.7% compared to a rise of 6.9% the previous year.
Prices on average, as measured by the CPI, were 4.6% higher in December 2023 compared with December 2022.
The most notable changes in the year were increases in Recreation & Culture (+10.3%), Restaurants & Hotels (+6.6%), Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (+5.6%) and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (+5.2%). There were no decreases when compared with December 2022.
Consumer Prices in December, as measured by the CPI, increased by 0.5% in the month. During December of last year, prices fell by 0.2% in the month. The most significant monthly price changes were increases in Recreation & Culture (+2.5%) and Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (+1.4%). There were decreases in Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (-0.5%) and Communications (-0.1%).
Table 3 shows the contribution of each 2-digit COICOP1 division to the overall change in the CPI. A detailed breakdown of the individual components of each of the 12 COICOP divisions is presented in Tables 4 to 15.
The divisions which caused the largest upward percentage point (pp) contributions to the CPI in the year were Restaurants & Hotels (+1.05 pp), Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (+0.97 pp), Recreation & Culture (+0.71 pp) and Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (+0.59 pp).
The main factors contributing to the annual change were as follows:
1Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose Adapted to the Needs of Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices (2000).
The divisions which caused the largest upward percentage point contributions to the CPI in the month were Recreation & Culture (+0.17 pp) and Transport (+0.10 pp). The only division to cause a downward percentage point contribution to the CPI in the month was Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (-0.03 pp).
The main factors contributing to the monthly change were as follows:
Tables 4 to 15 detail all COICOP1 sub-indices of the CPI.
Table 2 and table 17 detail selected consumer price index sub-indices. The sub index for Services rose by 6.0% in the year to December, while Goods increased by 2.8%. Services, excluding mortgage interest repayments, increased by 4.1% in the year since December 2022.
The CPI excluding tobacco increased by 0.6% in the month of December and rose by 4.6% in the year. The CPI excluding mortgage interest rose by 0.5% in the month and increased by 3.6% in the year.
1Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose Adapted to the Needs of Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices (2000).
Prices on average, as measured by the EU Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), increased by 3.2% compared with December 2022.
Table 19 details the COICOP sub-indices for the HICP. The most notable changes in the year were increases in Recreation & Culture (+10.3%), Restaurants & Hotels (+6.6%), Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (+5.6%) and Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+4.9%). There were decreases in Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (-1.6%), Health (-0.6%) and Miscellaneous Goods & Services (-0.2%).
The HICP increased by 0.4% in the month. This compares to a decrease of 0.3% recorded in December of last year.
The most significant monthly price changes were increases in Recreation & Culture (+2.5%) and Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (+1.4%). There were decreases in Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (-0.5%) and Communications (-0.1%).
National Average Prices for selected goods and services for December 2023 are detailed in Table 20.
Looking at the National Average Prices of some staple items:
To calculate the percentage change in the CPI between two periods of time
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Statistician's Comment
The Central Statistics Office (CSO) has today (16 January 2024) published the Consumer Price Index (CPI) December 2023.
Commenting on annual changes shown in the release, Anthony Dawson, Statistician in the Prices Division, said: “The latest publication for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) shows that prices for consumer goods and services in December 2023 rose by 4.6% on average when compared with December 2022. This was up from 3.9% in the 12 months to November 2023. This was the second consecutive month since September 2021 where the annual growth in the CPI was below 5.0%.
Annual Changes
The most significant growth in the 12 months to December 2023 were seen in Recreation & Culture (+10.3%) and Restaurants & Hotels (+6.6%). The annual change in Recreation & Culture costs reflects a rise in prices for package holidays (+46.4%).
There were increases in all COICOP divisions when compared with December 2022.
Monthly Changes
Consumer prices in December 2023 rose by 0.5% in the month. During December 2022, prices fell by 0.2% in the month. In December 2023, the most significant monthly price changes were increases in Recreation & Culture (+2.5%) and Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (+1.4%). Recreation & Culture rose mainly due to higher prices for package holidays.
Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (-0.5%) and Communications (-0.1%) were the only divisions to show a decrease when compared with November 2023.
It should be noted that these figures relate to the CPI. The flash estimate published on 04 January 2024 related to the EU Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). (See Background Notes for differences between CPI and HICP)"
National Average Prices
The National Average Prices for selected goods and services for December are also published today. The National Average Prices are compiled together with the CPI. Commenting on the National Average Prices, Anthony Dawson said: “There were price increases in December 2023 for a 2.5kg Bag of Potatoes (+36c) and Irish Cheddar Cheese per kg (+21c), while there were decreases in the price of a pound of butter (-9c) and two litres of full fat milk (-8c) when compared with December 2022.” The comprehensive list of items included in the National Average Prices and their monthly prices are available at: https://data.cso.ie/table/CPM12.