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Headline Economic Results

This release was compiled during the COVID-19 crisis. The results contained in this release reflect some of the economic impacts of the COVID-19 situation. For further information see Information Note - Implications of COVID-19 on the Quarterly National Accounts Quarter 3 2021.

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Increases of 0.9% in GDP and 5.0% in GNP in Quarter 3

Table 1.1 GDP and GNP at constant 2019 prices, Q3 20211
 Amount €mQuarterly % change
GDP110,2580.9
GNP82,7045.0
1Constant Market Prices, chain linked annually and referenced to year 2019, seasonally adjusted

Updated estimates for the third quarter of 2021 indicate that there was an increase of 0.9% in GDP in real terms in Q3 2021 compared to the previous quarter while GNP rose by 5.0%. For the first nine months of 2021, the economy grew by approximately 14.5% in GDP terms and 12.9% in terms of GNP compared with the equivalent nine months of 2020. In comparison with Q1 to Q3 2019, GDP has increased by 21.7% and GNP has grown by 15.3%.

GDPGNP
Q1 20192.197541871740666.87094701527704
Q2 20192.219795010607380.554765246656919
Q3 2019-0.4161596830414950.714427304221554
Q4 20191.200269745248612.32909873002536
Q1 20203.671036614749152.89818590415585
Q2 2020-3.3176466634988-5.73368695097748
Q3 20209.468730217211730.33855602905899
Q4 2020-4.6809273906561910.1632720732125
Q1 202110.0283822248139-1.77908499677796
Q2 20215.246045340317326.21394034440401
Q3 20210.9456301691655575.04907467963491

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Industry (excl. Construction)Information and CommunicationProfessional, Admin and Support ServicesPublic Admin, Education and HealthDistribution, Transport, Hotels and RestaurantsReal Estate ActivitiesFinancial and Insurance ActivitiesConstructionAgriculture Forestry and FishingArts, Entertainment and Other Services
Q3 202148.70674341316.4377827169.4961486429.1213509298.2974625365.1792430423.7324850081.8441791530.9357251080.917341953
Q2 202145.3332419416.4730920069.1844378419.0927043537.8984127775.1921209023.8350497891.7551092520.7561231380.927713909

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The Industry (excluding Construction) sector recorded strong growth in Q3 compared with the previous quarter, an increase of 7.4%. The domestically dominated Distribution, Transport, Hotels & Restaurants sector increased by 5.1% following the further easing of COVID restrictions during the quarter. The Agriculture sector increased by 23.8% over the period compared with Q2 2021 while the Construction sector grew by 5.1% over the same period. Growth also took place in Professional & Administrative services (3.4%) and Public Administration, Education & Health (0.3%). The MNE dominated Information & Communication sector declined by 0.2% in Q3 2021 while quarter-on-quarter decreases were recorded in Finance & Insurance (2.7%), Real Estate (0.2%) and Arts & Entertainment (1.1%). (See Table 2.5)

Personal Consumption ExpenditureGovernment ExpenditureGross Fixed Capital FormationValue of Physical Changes in StocksNet ExportsModified Final Domestic DemandGDP
Q1 201927.8749985198.901527046418.6960561883.03149790629.95348819946.38572334387.544986844
Q2 201928.0161707778.947942062662.308104732-0.361265585-10.1368338446.3525732489.488306094
Q3 201927.597337249.078996046321.2263608741.31147322728.33834615946.83013257489.115891843
Q4 201927.4371998178.963950459288.753231695-0.056312293-35.8346863346.14885573390.185522931
Q1 202026.5236750779.07118034581.4065928592.206933134-25.7924105645.42708937393.496266499
Q2 202022.57664476910.17811029720.8743116381.87189658236.62144449940.59484464390.394390733
Q3 202025.30475613510.084023519.6654853690.56933471245.76612081745.39005622998.953591723
Q4 202024.95973693210.46845191325.0152678340.28070077732.0078994945.2024671294.321645944
Q1 202123.56384930710.30359383718.5912684471.52370893352.08599337242.983523158103.78058112
Q2 202126.97862920910.35982716819.4762012471.16312170754.00705335247.016708331109.22495746
Q3 202127.10381904210.44331644418.7331793371.65511677751.77100458247.675141364110.25782161

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On the expenditure side of the accounts (Table 3.5), Personal Consumption Expenditure grew modestly by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter. Exports increased by 1.3% in Q3 2021 compared with Q2 2021 while Imports rose at a faster rate of 4.5% which meant that overall net exports for the quarter were 4.1% lower in Q3 compared with Q2 or €2.2 billion lower in money terms quarter-on-quarter. Capital Investment was relatively unchanged during the quarter, exhibiting a small decrease of €251 million in Q3 compared with the previous quarter. Investment accounted for 35.2% of domestic demand in Q3 2021. These impacts when combined resulted in an overall increase in the real GDP growth rate in Q3 2021 of 0.9%. Final Domestic Demand was down by 0.9% in Q3 compared with Q2 while Modified Domestic Demand increased by 1.4% over the same period.

GDPNet Factor Income from Rest of WorldGNP
Q1 201987.544986844-19.6264199867.918566866
Q2 201989.488306094-21.1929506268.295355471
Q3 201989.115891843-20.332615768.783276138
Q4 201990.185522931-19.8002163870.385306549
Q1 202093.496266499-21.0710629272.425203582
Q2 202090.394390733-22.121821668.272569135
Q3 202098.953591723-30.4498816968.503710034
Q4 202094.321645944-18.8557174875.465928465
Q1 2021103.78058112-29.6572556674.123325454
Q2 2021109.22495746-30.4956527878.729304679
Q3 2021110.25782161-27.5534155582.704406067

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Factor income outflows were €2,942m lower than in the previous quarter leading to an overall increase in GNP of 5.0% for the third quarter compared with the previous quarter.

The calculation methods for quarterly accounts are similar to those used in the annual National Income and Expenditure. As some of the available sources are of lesser reliability than those used for the annual national accounts, the quarterly estimates are subject to a greater margin of error than the annual figures. These preliminary estimates will therefore be revised when the next detailed annual results are published.

 


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