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Foreign Direct Investment

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Direct Investment Income Outflows Increased by €14.4bn in Q1 2021

InflowsOutflows
Q4 20184.09820.213
Q1 20195.20822.87
Q2 20194.77622.605
Q3 20195.89724.045
Q4 20194.82922.265
Q1 20206.15423.505
Q2 20202.73821.015
Q3 20204.08230.56
Q4 20204.06222.362
Q1 202110.21136.808

Direct investment income outflows (earned on investments in Ireland by investors located abroad) were €36.8bn in the first quarter of 2021, an increase of €14.4bn compared with the fourth quarter of 2020. This increase was brought about by singularly strong income outflow growth for several large multinationals. Direct investment income inflows, which represent income earned abroad by investors located in Ireland, were €10.2bn in the first quarter of 2021. This marked an increase of €6.1bn from the previous quarter.

Income on Debt OutflowsReinvested Earning OutflowsDividends & Distributed Branch Profits Outflows
Q4 20182.54313.4974.173
Q1 20192.16610.16210.543
Q2 20192.25718.7661.582
Q3 20192.53418.6642.847
Q4 20192.50315.2534.509
Q1 20202.269.84411.401
Q2 20202.42117.0491.545
Q3 20202.41925.6282.514
Q4 20202.20516.8663.291
Q1 20212.663.43830.71

The composition of direct investment income outflows is presented in Figure 4.2. Income outflows on reinvested earnings were €3.4bn in the first quarter of 2021, with dividends & distributed branch profits outflows at €30.7bn and income on debt outflows at €2.7bn. The aforementioned strong growth in income in the first quarter of 2021 was predominantly seen in dividends. The figure for reinvested earnings in the first quarter of 2021 decreased by €13.4bn when compared to the fourth quarter of 2020 while dividends increased by €27.4bn. A similar drop in reinvested earnings and a simultaneous increase in dividends occurred in the first quarter of 2020, however, not on the same scale. This increase in dividends was caused by a small number of large multinationals.

Direct Investment Income Outflowsof which Manufacturingof which Information and Communications
Q4 201820.21311.5553.265
Q1 201922.8714.4693.628
Q2 201922.60510.0646.168
Q3 201924.04514.852.885
Q4 201922.26512.513.853
Q1 202023.50514.9254.313
Q2 202021.01513.3834.355
Q3 202030.5619.048.152
Q4 202022.36214.1735.172
Q1 202136.80825.4138.201

Figure 4.3 illustrates a breakdown of direct investment income outflows between two sectors, manufacturing and information and communications. Of the €36.8bn in direct investment income outflows for the first quarter of 2021, €25.4bn can be attributed to the manufacturing sector and €8.2bn to the information and communications sector. Income in the first quarter of 2021 has increased for both sectors when compared to the previous quarter. The overall growth in income from the previous quarter, and the previous year, can be explained by growth in the manufacturing sector’s income.

AbroadIn Ireland
Q4 201838.8260.425
Q1 20198.1312.01
Q2 2019-60.549-4.229
Q3 201927.79633.194
Q4 20199.76441.473
Q1 2020-10.6264.076
Q2 2020-2.9264.428
Q3 2020-15.874-19.372
Q4 2020-13.895-19.869
Q1 202115.414-18.325

Foreign direct investment (FDI) transactions abroad and in Ireland are shown in Figure 4.4. Direct investment into Ireland decreased by €18.3bn in the first quarter of 2021. Direct investment abroad increased by €15.4bn in the quarter. The changes in both direct investment into Ireland and abroad was impacted by corporate restructuring.

AbroadIn Ireland
Q4 2018845.336915.849
Q1 2019896.385966.725
Q2 2019863.272950.712
Q3 2019940.4321004.385
Q4 2019966.6411025.789
Q1 2020933.9511038.284
Q2 2020908.6041096.582
Q3 2020895.0641008.055
Q4 2020983.4261100.218
Q1 20211078.2021149.353

The stock of FDI assets held abroad increased from €983.4bn in Q4 2020 to €1,078.2bn in Q1 2021, while the stock of FDI assets held in Ireland increased from €1,100.2bn in Q4 2020 to €1,149.4bn in Q1 2021. FDI assets held in Ireland by foreign investors increased by €49.1bn. FDI assets held abroad by Irish investors increased by €94.8bn, this was due to a broad increase in holdings abroad for a range of multinationals as well as increases in assets held by the Redomiciled PLCs. 

Net Direct Investment IncomeAll Other Current Account ComponentsCurrent Account Balance
Q4 2018-16.1152.758-13.357
Q1 2019-17.66226.8159.153
Q2 2019-17.829-14.773-32.602
Q3 2019-18.14829.75711.609
Q4 2019-17.436-11.129-28.564
Q1 2020-17.3512.794-14.557
Q2 2020-18.27729.93911.663
Q3 2020-26.47839.18312.705
Q4 2020-18.325.4137.113
Q1 2021-26.59745.03818.441

The impact of foreign direct investment income on the current account balance is shown in Figure 4.6. In Q1 2021 net direct investment income (FDI income inflows less FDI income outflows) was -€26.6bn while the net of all other current account components (trade in merchandise, services and other income) stood at €45bn. The resultant balance was a current account surplus of €18.4bn.

Net Direct Investment TransactionsAll Other Financial Account ComponentsFinancial Account Balance
Q4 2018-21.605-36.308-57.913
Q1 20196.1215.17111.291
Q2 2019-56.32-0.434-56.754
Q3 2019-5.39810.1934.795
Q4 2019-31.7096.068-25.641
Q1 2020-14.702-9.436-24.138
Q2 2020-67.34865.32-2.027
Q3 20203.498-0.4563.041
Q4 20205.9746.72612.7
Q1 202133.739-11.19722.542

The impact of direct investment transactions on the financial account balance is shown in Figure 4.7. In Q1 2021 there was net flows of €33.7bn in foreign direct investment transactions while the net contribution from other financial account components (portfolio investment, other investment and reserve assets) was -€11.2bn. This contributed to a financial account surplus of €22.5bn.

Net Direct Investment PositionAll Other Net IIP ComponentsNet IIP
Q4 2018-70.513-520.273-590.787
Q1 2019-70.34-502.33-572.671
Q2 2019-87.44-515.66-603.1
Q3 2019-63.953-544.811-608.764
Q4 2019-59.148-559.635-618.782
Q1 2020-104.333-534.819-639.152
Q2 2020-187.978-445.748-633.726
Q3 2020-112.991-489.09-602.081
Q4 2020-116.792-498.186-614.978
Q1 2021-71.151-540.268-611.42

The net stock of foreign direct investment assets in the net international investment position (IIP) is shown in Figure 4.8. In Q1 2021 there was a net direct investment position of -€71.2bn. This net position is significantly reduced following the increases to Irish FDI assets held abroad. Other net IIP components (portfolio investment, other investment and reserve assets) accounted for -€540.3bn. The overall net IIP balance is -€611.4bn.

Direct Investment Position Abroad (left axis)Direct Investment Position In Ireland (left axis)Return on FDI Abroad (right axis)Return on FDI in Ireland (right axis) Q42018845.336915.8492.53792574786838.6880042452413 Q12019896.385966.7252.605354557241149.03445873719358 Q22019863.272950.7122.309052471873148.97597558768005 Q32019940.4321004.3852.314334300197399.43850503622548 Q42019966.6411025.7892.202179423924329.1384279932496 Q12020933.9511038.2842.240335346835079.0096501327271 Q22020908.6041096.5822.100538465080078.7480881916701 Q32020895.0641008.0551.959379443630018.87712911574328 Q42020983.4261100.2181.903327583278969.66633765022742 Q120211078.2021149.3531.956312453510579.6354209716249
Direct Investment Position Abroad (left axis)Direct Investment Position In Ireland (left axis)Return on FDI Abroad (right axis)Return on FDI in Ireland (right axis)
Q42018845.336915.8492.53792574786838.6880042452413
Q12019896.385966.7252.456979980700268.55900074995474
Q22019863.272950.7122.397622070448259.12715943419248
Q32019940.4321004.3852.124449189308748.93412386684389
Q42019966.6411025.7892.14247067939398.9477465638645
Q12020933.9511038.2842.318751197867988.90122548358638
Q22020908.6041096.5822.159136433473778.28301029927539
Q32020895.0641008.0551.989019779591189.6567151593911
Q42020983.4261100.2181.732311327949438.85660841760451
Q120211078.2021149.3531.956312453510579.6354209716249

The rate of return on FDI investment in Ireland and abroad alongside the stock of FDI assets held in Ireland and abroad is presented in Figure 4.9. The rate of return is calculated by FDI income divided by FDI positions. The return on investments in Ireland is significantly higher than the return on investments made abroad. In Q1 2021 the annual rate of return on FDI investment in Ireland was 9.6% compared to 2% on FDI investment abroad. 


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