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For more information on this release:
E-mail: Agaccounts@cso.ie Viacheslav Voronovich +353 21 453 5164 Morgan O'Donnell +353 21 453 5333
For general information on CSO statistics:
information@cso.ie (+353) 21 453 5000 Visit StatCentral.ie, the portal to Ireland's official statistics On-line ISSN 2009-6453
CSO statistical release, 31 July 2013, 11am

Cereals Supply Balance

2011/2012

 ProductionDomestic usesSelf-sufficiency
       '000 tonnes 
Cereals2,5092,71992%
Wheat9291,21277%
Barley1,4121,374103%
Oats168133127%
 

Irish self-sufficiency in cereals increases to 92% in 2011/2012

Figure 1 Cereals Supply Balance 2011/2012

Irish self-sufficiency in cereals has increased to 92% in 2011/2012 from 74% in 2010/2011.  Wheat production increased by 38.9% or 260,000 tonnes and barley production increased by 15.5% or 189,000 tonnes.  Oats production in 2011/2012 was 13.5% or 20,000 tonnes up on 2010/2011 levels.  See Table 1 and graph.

A comparison of the 2011/2012 results with 2010/2011 shows that (see Table 1):

  •   Total cereal imports decreased by 19.4% or 181,000 tonnes.  Imports of wheat decreased by 6.4% or 41,000 tonnes, while oat imports remained unchanged and barley imports fell by 48.8% or 139,000 tonnes.

 

  •  Total cereal exports increased by 75% or 234,000 tonnes.  Barley exports increased by 306.5% or 141,000 tonnes, while wheat exports increased by 54.1% or 111,000 tonnes. Oats exports recorded a decrease of 28.3%, or 17,000 tonnes
Table 1 Cereals Supply Balance
             
   UsableImports ofSuppliesExports ofVariationDomestic Of which available Of which available forHuman consumptionSelf-
   Productioncereals= Usescerealsin stocksUsesfor other uses1human consumptionper personSufficiency
Product  121+2=3+4+534567=5-681/5
       ' 000 tonnes   kg/person%
             
Principal cereals2 2009/1032,0631,0933,156282-342,9082,52538384.471
  2010/1132,0409312,971312-1102,7692,41135878.674
  2011/122,5097503,259546-72,7192,30541590.692
             
Wheat 2009/103 6907231,413213-111,21184336881.157
  2010/1136696401,309205-751,17883234676.057
  2011/129295991,528316-11,21280940388.177
             
Barley 2009/1031,2273631,59056-111,5451,54500.079
  2010/1131,2232851,50846-311,4931,49300.082
  2011/121,4121461,558187-41,3741,37400.0103
             
Oats 2009/103146615213-12152137153.396
  2010/113148615460-49886122.6151
  2011/12168617443-2133121122.5127
             
1 Comprises seeds, losses, feeding stuffs and industrial uses.
2 Principal cereals has been calculated as the sum of wheat, barley and oats. Other cereals such as maize, rye and triticale are not included in the estimates in this release.
 The CSO estimated that these other cereals accounted for less than 2% of the total area of cereals sown on 1 June 2011.
3 Revised
4 Totals may not equal the sum of the categories due to rounding differences.
Table 2 Analysis of Other Uses ' 000 tonnes
       
Product SeedsLossesFeeding stuffs Industrial uses Total2
       
Principal cereals2009/10 46542,2861392,525
 2010/11150542,1581492,411
 2011/1253672,0551302,305
       
Wheat2009/10 16228041843
 2010/11119217920832
 2011/1220297600809
       
Barley2009/1026291,3511381,545
 2010/11127291,2871491,493
 2011/1229341,1821301,374
       
Oats2009/10431300137
 2010/1114379086
 2011/12541130121
       
1 Revised
2 Totals may not equal the sum of the categories due to rounding differences.

Background Notes

 

Supply balances

The objective of a supply balance is to reconcile the total supplies with the various uses of a product taking into account changes in stock levels.

Supply balance sheets are compiled on the basis of harmonised concepts agreed between the European Union countries.

For cereals, the marketing year is from 1 July to 30 June of the following year and this period is also the reference year for the supply balance.

 

Data sources   

Usable production equates to the crop area multiplied by the green crop yield.  For the crop year 2011/2012 usable production relates to the crop that was harvested in the Autumn of 2011.  This harvested crop would be used in the marketing year 2011/2012.

Since the 2008/2009 crop year  production figures are based on estimates of area under crops data obtained from the Department of Agriculture, Food and the Marine (DAFM) Single Payment Scheme and consequently represent a new series as these estimates were previously sourced from the CSO June sample survey of agricultural holdings.

The estimates for imports and exports of cereals are obtained from CSO foreign trade statistics.  The trade data used also includes processed products, such as flour and biscuits.  They are expressed in base product equivalent weight e.g. cereal products have been converted into raw cereal equivalent weight.

Variation in stocks is the net difference between movement of product into stocks and out of stocks in the course of the year.

The per capita consumption estimates given for human consumption were derived by dividing the consumption figure by the population on 1 April of each year.

Seeds represent the amounts of certified and uncertified crop seed planted for the next harvest year.  This estimate is calculated by applying a seeding rate to the crop area estimate of the following year.

Green yields have been adjusted by a drying loss to convert the crop to a dry basis. This drying loss percentage is obtained annually for each crop from the Department of Agriculture, Food and the Marine.  Any grain wastage during this process is also included under losses.

Industrial uses represent the quantities of cereals used in the brewing and distilling industries.

 

Self-sufficiency

Self-sufficiency is defined as usable production expressed as a percentage of domestic uses.

 

Balancing residual

By definition one item in each product balance is calculated as a balancing residual.  The balancing item in this publication is feeding stuffs.

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