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E-mail: Agaccounts@cso.ie Viacheslav Voronovich +353 21 453 5164 Morgan O'Donnell +353 21 453 5333

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CSO statistical release, 31 July 2013, 11am

Cereals Supply Balance

2011/2012

	Production	Domestic uses	Self-sufficiency
	'000 tonnes
Cereals	2,509	2,719	92%
Wheat	929	1,212	77%
Barley	1,412	1,374	103%
Oats	168	133	127%

Irish self-sufficiency in cereals increases to 92% in 2011/2012

Figure 1 Cereals Supply Balance 2011/2012

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Irish self-sufficiency in cereals has increased to 92% in 2011/2012 from 74% in 2010/2011. Wheat production increased by 38.9% or 260,000 tonnes and barley production increased by 15.5% or 189,000 tonnes. Oats production in 2011/2012 was 13.5% or 20,000 tonnes up on 2010/2011 levels. See Table 1 and graph.

A comparison of the 2011/2012 results with 2010/2011 shows that (see Table 1):

Total cereal imports decreased by 19.4% or 181,000 tonnes. Imports of wheat decreased by 6.4% or 41,000 tonnes, while oat imports remained unchanged and barley imports fell by 48.8% or 139,000 tonnes.

Total cereal exports increased by 75% or 234,000 tonnes. Barley exports increased by 306.5% or 141,000 tonnes, while wheat exports increased by 54.1% or 111,000 tonnes. Oats exports recorded a decrease of 28.3%, or 17,000 tonnes

Show Cereals Supply Balance Table 1

Table 1 Cereals Supply Balance

		Usable	Imports of	Supplies	Exports of	Variation	Domestic	Of which available	Of which available for	Human consumption	Self-
		Production	cereals	= Uses	cereals	in stocks	Uses	for other uses¹	human consumption	per person	Sufficiency
Product		1	2	1+2=3+4+5	3	4	5	6	7=5-6	8	1/5
						' 000 tonnes				kg/person	%

Principal cereals²	2009/10³	2,063	1,093	3,156	282	-34	2,908	2,525	383	84.4	71
	2010/11³	2,040	931	2,971	312	-110	2,769	2,411	358	78.6	74
	2011/12	2,509	750	3,259	546	-7	2,719	2,305	415	90.6	92

Wheat	2009/10³	690	723	1,413	213	-11	1,211	843	368	81.1	57
	2010/11³	669	640	1,309	205	-75	1,178	832	346	76.0	57
	2011/12	929	599	1,528	316	-1	1,212	809	403	88.1	77

Barley	2009/10³	1,227	363	1,590	56	-11	1,545	1,545	0	0.0	79
	2010/11³	1,223	285	1,508	46	-31	1,493	1,493	0	0.0	82
	2011/12	1,412	146	1,558	187	-4	1,374	1,374	0	0.0	103

Oats	2009/10³	146	6	152	13	-12	152	137	15	3.3	96
	2010/11³	148	6	154	60	-4	98	86	12	2.6	151
	2011/12	168	6	174	43	-2	133	121	12	2.5	127

¹ Comprises seeds, losses, feeding stuffs and industrial uses.
² Principal cereals has been calculated as the sum of wheat, barley and oats. Other cereals such as maize, rye and triticale are not included in the estimates in this release.
The CSO estimated that these other cereals accounted for less than 2% of the total area of cereals sown on 1 June 2011.
³ Revised
⁴ Totals may not equal the sum of the categories due to rounding differences.

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Open in Excel: Cereals Supply Balance 2011/2012 Table 1 (XLS 11KB)

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Show Analysis of Other Uses Table 2

Table 2 Analysis of Other Uses						' 000 tonnes

Product		Seeds	Losses	Feeding stuffs	Industrial uses	Total²

Principal cereals	2009/10	46	54	2,286	139	2,525
	2010/11¹	50	54	2,158	149	2,411
	2011/12	53	67	2,055	130	2,305

Wheat	2009/10	16	22	804	1	843
	2010/11¹	19	21	792	0	832
	2011/12	20	29	760	0	809

Barley	2009/10	26	29	1,351	138	1,545
	2010/11¹	27	29	1,287	149	1,493
	2011/12	29	34	1,182	130	1,374

Oats	2009/10	4	3	130	0	137
	2010/11¹	4	3	79	0	86
	2011/12	5	4	113	0	121

¹ Revised
² Totals may not equal the sum of the categories due to rounding differences.

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Open in Excel: Cereal Supply Balance 2011/2012 Table 2 (XLS 10KB)

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Background Notes

Supply balances

The objective of a supply balance is to reconcile the total supplies with the various uses of a product taking into account changes in stock levels.

Supply balance sheets are compiled on the basis of harmonised concepts agreed between the European Union countries.

For cereals, the marketing year is from 1 July to 30 June of the following year and this period is also the reference year for the supply balance.

Data sources

Usable production equates to the crop area multiplied by the green crop yield. For the crop year 2011/2012 usable production relates to the crop that was harvested in the Autumn of 2011. This harvested crop would be used in the marketing year 2011/2012.

Since the 2008/2009 crop year production figures are based on estimates of area under crops data obtained from the Department of Agriculture, Food and the Marine (DAFM) Single Payment Scheme and consequently represent a new series as these estimates were previously sourced from the CSO June sample survey of agricultural holdings.

The estimates for imports and exports of cereals are obtained from CSO foreign trade statistics. The trade data used also includes processed products, such as flour and biscuits. They are expressed in base product equivalent weight e.g. cereal products have been converted into raw cereal equivalent weight.

Variation in stocks is the net difference between movement of product into stocks and out of stocks in the course of the year.

The per capita consumption estimates given for human consumption were derived by dividing the consumption figure by the population on 1 April of each year.

Seeds represent the amounts of certified and uncertified crop seed planted for the next harvest year. This estimate is calculated by applying a seeding rate to the crop area estimate of the following year.

Green yields have been adjusted by a drying loss to convert the crop to a dry basis. This drying loss percentage is obtained annually for each crop from the Department of Agriculture, Food and the Marine. Any grain wastage during this process is also included under losses.

Industrial uses represent the quantities of cereals used in the brewing and distilling industries.

Self-sufficiency

Self-sufficiency is defined as usable production expressed as a percentage of domestic uses.

Balancing residual

By definition one item in each product balance is calculated as a balancing residual. The balancing item in this publication is feeding stuffs.

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